DayTrading: Środa 6.02.2013
Re: DayTrading: Środa 6.02.2013
Czyli głębsza korekta cały czas możliawa
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
„chcący szuka sposobu, nie chcący szuka powodu"
Dla kogoś, kto nie wie, do jakiego portu zmierza, każdy wiatr jest niepomyślny
- Seneka
Dla kogoś, kto nie wie, do jakiego portu zmierza, każdy wiatr jest niepomyślny
- Seneka
Re: DayTrading: Środa 6.02.2013
trzeb przynac ze ladny zrzut zrobili na NIKIIE na zakonczenie sesji 
Re: DayTrading: Środa 6.02.2013
skoczni chcieli sie zabawic z citi to teraz dostana po SL
jak uzyskać parytet na edku -swieca z 03.12 - tu podjada pod 1,053 i wtedy rura w jeden dzien 500 piepek
-
niemiaszek
- Przyjaciel Forum
- Posty: 5097
- Rejestracja: 08 lis 2010, 15:02
Re: DayTrading: Środa 6.02.2013
Hello
EUROPE: There is a very limited calendar on both sides of the Atlantic
Wednesday. The European calendar kicks off at 0745GMT, with the release of the
French PPI data for December. At 0900GMT, the SMMT January car registration data
will be released. At 1100GMT, the German December manufacturing orders data will
cross the wires. Factory orders are seen up 0.7% m/m and down 1.7% on year.
Germany re-opens its 5-year benchmark 0.50% Feb 2018 Bobl for up to E4.0bln.
UK: There is only limited UK data, starting with the release of the Halifax
house price index data for January. Traders are looking for a further uptick,
underlining recent improvements seen in other indices. Expectations are for a
rise of 0.1% on month and 1.6% on a 3 mo y/y basis. At 0900GMT, the SMMT January
car registration data will be released.
UK PRESS: Outgoing FSA chairman - and one time candidate for the post of BOE
Governor -Lord Turner, posits to the FT that the government should start a
programme of money printing to directly fund investment spending - albeit by
treading carefully.
UK PRESS: The Times' Shadow MPC has urged the Chancellor not to meddle with
inflation targeting, with five members saying the current remit offers more than
enough flexibility. However, two members, including former Dep Governor John
Gieve, argued the remit should be changed. The Shadow Committee also voted in
favour of leaving policy unchanged, although one member argued for an additional
stg 25 bn of QE and a commitment to keep rates at current low levels for two
years.
UK: In a release on the website, Goldman Sachs (Lloyd C Blankfein and Gary D
Cohn) announces today that Jim O'Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset
Management, will be stepping down after nearly 20 years of service. The letter
reminds that O'Neill was the first to use the term BRICs to describe then up and
coming emerging market countries such as Brazil, Russia, India and China.
INDUSTRY NEWS: Jim O'Neill, Chairman of Goldman's Wealth Asset Mngmnt and former
chief economist is to retire later in 2013, the Telegraph notes. O'Neill will be
best remembers for coining the BRIC acronym - and for the attempted takeover of
Manchester United.
US: Across the pond, the US calendar starts at 1100GMT, with the release of the MBA
Mortgage Index for the Feb 1 week. Then, at 1400GMT, the US Treasury announces
the details on next week's quarterly refunding auctions.
At 1430GMT, the EIA Crude Oil Stocks data will be released.
Canada's January Ivey purchasing managers index is set for release at 1500GMT.
The last scheduled data will be released at 1900GMT, when the January Treasury
STRIP data will cross the screens.
EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY Tuesday at $1.3580, off late Europe highs of $1.3598
after rate had spiked higher on a MNI source story suggesting current strength
of the euro will not play a part in Thursday's ECB rate decision. Rate continued
the consolidation, seen through the NY afternoon, between $1.3570/95, into the
Asian morning and the early part of the afternoon, before early Europe broke
rate under $1.3570 to $1.3561, with rate holding heavy at writing. Moves in Asia
were driven by euro-yen, the Japanese currency extending recent losses as the
cross extended recent gains to Y127.71 (dollar-yen made a show above Y94.00) in
early trade before correcting back toward Y127.00 ahead of Europe. Focus on ECB
rate meeting and following press conference Thursday, no change widely expected
but interest to be on Draghi's pointers to future direction. For today Germany
factory orders due at 1100GMT to provide interest. Support seen back at $1.3560,
a break and clear to open a deeper move toward $1.3525/20 ahead of stronger
interest into $1.3500. Resistance remains toward $1.3600, a break to open a move
toward $1.3635/40.
CABLE: The corrective pullback off post UK services PMI react highs of $1.5805
extended to $1.5630 in NY Tuesday, the rate closing the session at $1.5663. This
sharp reversal in cable was again seen driven by euro-sterling, the rate
reacting to a strong reaction to a MNI source story suggesting that ECB members
don't see the current strength of the euro as having a significant impact on
monetary policy. The cross, which had pulled back from Friday highs of stg0.8717
to stg0.8555 yesterday, bounced back to stg0.8688. Cable trade through Asia
consolidated the pullback between $1.5650/65 through Asia, while the cross was
contained within stg0.86625/0.86795. Trade continues to take direction from euro
action, with focus on Thursday's ECB rate decision, and more importantly
Draghi's press conference. Though market not expecting a change in UK rates/QE
at Thursday's MPC decision, the view is that an expansion of QE remains on the
table for later in the year, while the ECB holds tight. Thursday also brings BOE
Governor in waiting Mark Carney's appearance before the TSC to judge how he will
direct MPC decisions going forward. Cable support seen at $1.5630/20, more
toward $1.5600. Resistance $1.5665 ahead of $1.5680.
CABLE: Traders flash up that real money account appears as an early seller, but
trader says coverage was reasonably easy. Rate currently seen easing through the
overnight base at $1.5651, touching a low at $1.5648. NY saw a low of $1.5630
with traders noting demand seen between $1.5630/20 should we revisit this area.
Below here and $1.5608 moves into view, 1.618% swing projection based off the
recent recovery from $1.5683 to $1.5805 as well as a 50% retrace of the rally
from $1.5235 to $1.6381.
YEN: Dollar-yen extended its recent recovery Tuesday, the market reacting to the
early standing down of BOJ Governor Shirakawa to Mar19 (joining the departure
data of his two deputies), with rate pushing through Y93.50 to Y93.65. A brief
pullback to Y93.46 in early Asia quickly attracted fresh demand with rate able
to step its way higher through the session before pushing through barrier
interest at Y94.00 (Y93.96 38.2% Y124.14-75.13) to Y94.06. Euro-yen tracked this
move, the rate extending to Y127.71 during the Asian afternoon. Profit take
demand for yen emerged ahead of the European open to press dollar-yen back to
Y93.68/euro-yen to Y127.05. Technical traders still see further upside
potential, one highlighting Y95.70. Now that market has a date for the change in
the BOJ old guard it will open speculation to who will take over, as well as the
two new deputies. Dollar-yen offers seen to Y94.20, with stops Y94.20/25.
Further offers into Y94.50. Support seen from Y93.50 through to Y93.20, stops
through Y93.00.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are lower Wednesday, boosted by the
weaker yen. The Nikkei 225 was higher by 416.83 points, or 3.77%, at 11463.75.
Into the close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by 29.46 points at 969.16.
Market breadth indicators saw 213 issue higher, 8 lower and 4 unchanged.
Preliminary volume stood at 3.1 bn shares.
BOJ: The Bank of Japan released a brief statement that BOJ Governor Masaaki
Shirakawa told Prime Minister Shinzo Abe today that he had decided to resign on
March 19 before his five-year term ends on April 8. The five-year terms of his
two deputies end on March 19.
BOJ: More from press conference in Maebashi City, north of Tokyo, by Bank of
Japan policy board member Takehiro Sato:
-- BOJ SATO: MUST TAKE STEPS IF BANKS STOP BIDDING IN BOJ OPS
-- BOJ SATO: MAY GUIDE RATES LOWER IF UNDERS-UBSCRIPTION RISES
-- BOJ Sato: CRAPPING INTEREST ON EXCESS RESERVES AN OPTION
-- BOJ Sato: Must be flexible about raising BOJ asset buying
-- BOJ Sato: Unrealistic to hit CPI target by guiding yen lower
-- BOJ Sato: Monetary easing indirectly affects forex
-- BOJ Sato: Open-ended easing to intensify impact on forex
-- BOJ Sato: 2% target is anchor, to stop CPI from overshooting
-- BOJ Sato: Wage recovery needed to hit 2% inflation target
-- BOJ Sato: Japan economy to improve in or after Q2
-- BOJ Sato: Must watch how far Japan interest rates will fall
BOJ: Greg Anderson of CitiFX says of BOJ Gov Shirakawa stepping down earlier
than expected (March 19 instead of when his 5-year term ends April
, "this
early resignation therefore pulls forward the first meeting of the new BOJ board
by 22 days." (BOJ decisions Feb 14, March 7, April 4 and April 26). By leaving
early, Shirakawa "has put pressure on the government" to announce its preferred
candidate and start the Diet confirmation process. The prospects of a "messy
confirmation could tip the scale toward ADB head Haruhiko Kuroda, who is not
viewed as the most willing to aggressively expand the balance sheet and
potentially purchase foreign bonds in that expansion," Anderson says. Another
candidate, Kazumasa Iwata, is viewed as most bullish for USDJPY. If Iwata is not
appointed, the market may be disappointed, which could mean "another short and
shallow dip (in dollar-yen), but if the government's designates for Governor and
the two Deputies has his name on the list as a Deputy, then there may be no
USDJPY dip whatsoever," he says.
GOLD: Spot gold prices continue to trade around unchanged levels
Wednesday after posting some marginal losses during the previous day.
Spot gold ended Tuesday's session $0.75 lower at $1672.95/oz as demand
for the precious metal slows down in China ahead of the Lunar New Year
holiday next week. Spot gold prices have continued to be tied to a
narrow range during Asian traded hours this morning, holding at an
intra-day low of $1671.35/oz from an initial high of $1675.20/oz. Offers
are reported above the market at $1692/oz with some medium bids seen
working below at $1664/oz. Spot gold now trades at $1672.90/oz,
unchanged on the session.
OIL: March NYMEX WTI prices are trading around unchanged levels
Wednesday after recovering some of the sharp losses posted during
Monday's decline. March WTI futures ended Tuesday's session 47 cents
higher at $96.64 a barrel after trading in a $95.91 to $97.07 range.
Prices have been held in a narrow range so far this morning, edging back
higher from an initial low of $96.51 to highs of $96.70 a barrel. Market
participants attention now turns to supply data due from the Energy
Information Administration (EIA) later today at 1530GMT. March WTI
futures now trade just above unchanged levels at $96.67 a barrel, up 3
cents on the session.
NATURAL GAS: NYMEX March natural gas prices are trading modestly higher
Wednesday, extending their gains from the previous day. March WTI
futures ended Tuesday's session up 8.4 cents, or 2.5%, at $3.399 per
million British thermal units (Btu) after trading in a $3.318 to $3.407
range. Prices remain underpinned in the short-term by some colder
Northeast and Midwest forecasts over the next few days. March natural
gas futures have remained in positive territory so far this morning,
advancing from lows of $3.398 to highs of $3.432 per mln Btu and now
trade at $3.411 per mln Btu, up from last night's close of $3.399 per
mln Btu.
OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.3450, $1.3500, $1.3530, $1.3600, $1.3700
* Dollar-yen; Y93.00, Y93.25, Y93.50
* Cable; $1.5630, $1.5700, $1.5800
* Aussie; $1.0415, $1.0435
EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Eurozone sovereign T-bill issuance has been
completed for this week, with E16.98bln allocated by Netherlands, France,
Greece, Belgium and ESM compared to E17.989bln allotted last week. To recap, on
Monday Netherlands sold E2.76bln 3-month DTC at average yield of 0.00% and sold
E1.03bln 6-month DTC at average yield of 0.021%. In the afternoon, France sold
E3.995 3-month BTF at average yield 0.011%, E1.89bln 6-month BTF at average
yield 0.047% and E1.497bln 12-month BTF at average yield 0.162%. On Tuesday
Greece sold E812.5mln 26-week T-bill at average yield 4.27%. Belgium sold
E1.505bln 3-month T-bill at average yield 0.038% and E1.541bln 6-month T-bill at
average yield 0.075%. Finally the ESM sold E1.949bln in 3-month Bill at average
yield 0.0158%. T-bill issuance is expected to jump higher next week with plans
from Germany, France, Spain, Italy, Greece, Belgium and Ireland, and could total
E27.0bln.
EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Germany comes to the market Wednesday with re-opening of its
5-year benchmark 0.50% Feb 2018 Bobl issue for up to E4.0bln. Overall, sovereign
bond issuance in the Eurozone so far this week is scheduled from Austria,
Belgium, Germany, France and Spain and is expected to pick up to around E17.1bln
vs E16.13bln sold last week. As a recap, Austria tapped its benchmark 7-year
1.95% June 2019 RAGB and also 10-year 3.40% Nov 2022 RAGB issues on Tuesday for
combined size of E1.1bln. Looking ahead, France taps 2.50% Oct 2020 OAT,
re-opens 10-year benchmark 2.25% Oct 2022 OAT and taps 15-year benchmark 2.75%
Oct 2027 OAT on Thursday for between E7.0bln and E8.0bln. Also on Thursday,
Spain tap off-the-run 2.75% Mar 2015 Bono, tap 5-year benchmark 4.50% Jan 2018
Bono and tap off-the-run 6.00% Jan 2029 Obligacion for between E3.5bln-E4.5bln.
On Friday, Belgium is due to hold an ORI auction -- but still due to be
confirmed. In terms of reinvestment flows, there are no redemptions due this
week with moderate coupon payments from Finland E0.02bln and Greece E0.01bln.
For full details of forthcoming issues, please see Eurozone bond auction
calendar & MNI Eurozone Net Cash Flow Matrix.
EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Feb 06 ECB bank lending survey
- Feb 06 EU Parliament debates plans on 2014-2020 Budget
- Feb 07 ECB Governing Council meeting, Draghi press conference
- Feb 07/08 European Leaders summit in Brussel
- Feb 07 Spain sells Bono bonds
- Feb 08 Greek T-bill redemption for E1.975bln
- Feb 08 ECB announces 3-year LTRO payback total amount
- Feb 11 Eurogroup meeting
- Feb 12 ECOFIN meeting
- Feb 12 ECB Draghi at a closed Spanish Parliament meeting from 1300GMT to
1430GMT, but also a presser should follow directly
- Feb 12 Italy T-bill auction
- Feb 12 Spain sells 6-/12-month T-bills
- Feb 12 Greece sells new 13-week T-bills for up to E1.0bln
- Feb 13 European Commission publishes forecasts
US: Timeline of key events in the US for the next few weeks:
- Feb 06 Fed Outright Tsy Coupon Purch 11/15/2018-01/31/2020 $3-$3.75bn
- Feb 06 US Treasury announces 3-10-30Y refunding auctions at 09:00 ET
- Feb 06 Treasury STRIPS at 15:00 ET
- Feb 07 Fed Outright Tsy Coupon Purch 02/15/2036-11/15/2042 $1.25-$1.75bn
- Feb 07 UST announces 3/6m bills at 11:00 ET
- Feb 07 Fed Evans (voter) on CNBC at 08:00 ET
- Feb 07 Fed Bullard gives remarks
- Feb 07 Fed Gov. Stein speaks at St. Louis Fed's research symposium
- Feb 07 Treasury Auction Allotments at 15:00 ET
- Feb 07 Money Supply (M2) at 16:30 ET
- Feb 08 Fed Outright TIPS Purch 04/15/2017-02/15/2042 $1-$1.5bn
- Feb 08 Fed Kocherlakota (non-voter) at NYU Stern School of Business
- Feb 10 Chinese Lunar New Year holiday (likely to affect US market activity,
Mainland China and Taiwan out Feb 11-15; Hong Kong out Feb 11-13)
- Feb 11 Fed Outright Tsy Coupon Purch 2/15/2036-11/15/2042 $1.25-$1.75bn
Oferta pracy w MNI(Market News Information-Deutsche Borse Group) jakby ktoś był zainteresowany:
INDUSTRY NEWS: MNI are looking for FX Reporters/Analysts in Singapore, London
and New York. The London position involves the possibility of covering US or
Asia working hour shifts. The positions may suit someone who wants to make a
transition from trading. Candidates are expected to have a broad set of contacts
in the FX markets. Please send CVs to clive@marketnews.com
EUROPE: There is a very limited calendar on both sides of the Atlantic
Wednesday. The European calendar kicks off at 0745GMT, with the release of the
French PPI data for December. At 0900GMT, the SMMT January car registration data
will be released. At 1100GMT, the German December manufacturing orders data will
cross the wires. Factory orders are seen up 0.7% m/m and down 1.7% on year.
Germany re-opens its 5-year benchmark 0.50% Feb 2018 Bobl for up to E4.0bln.
UK: There is only limited UK data, starting with the release of the Halifax
house price index data for January. Traders are looking for a further uptick,
underlining recent improvements seen in other indices. Expectations are for a
rise of 0.1% on month and 1.6% on a 3 mo y/y basis. At 0900GMT, the SMMT January
car registration data will be released.
UK PRESS: Outgoing FSA chairman - and one time candidate for the post of BOE
Governor -Lord Turner, posits to the FT that the government should start a
programme of money printing to directly fund investment spending - albeit by
treading carefully.
UK PRESS: The Times' Shadow MPC has urged the Chancellor not to meddle with
inflation targeting, with five members saying the current remit offers more than
enough flexibility. However, two members, including former Dep Governor John
Gieve, argued the remit should be changed. The Shadow Committee also voted in
favour of leaving policy unchanged, although one member argued for an additional
stg 25 bn of QE and a commitment to keep rates at current low levels for two
years.
UK: In a release on the website, Goldman Sachs (Lloyd C Blankfein and Gary D
Cohn) announces today that Jim O'Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset
Management, will be stepping down after nearly 20 years of service. The letter
reminds that O'Neill was the first to use the term BRICs to describe then up and
coming emerging market countries such as Brazil, Russia, India and China.
INDUSTRY NEWS: Jim O'Neill, Chairman of Goldman's Wealth Asset Mngmnt and former
chief economist is to retire later in 2013, the Telegraph notes. O'Neill will be
best remembers for coining the BRIC acronym - and for the attempted takeover of
Manchester United.
US: Across the pond, the US calendar starts at 1100GMT, with the release of the MBA
Mortgage Index for the Feb 1 week. Then, at 1400GMT, the US Treasury announces
the details on next week's quarterly refunding auctions.
At 1430GMT, the EIA Crude Oil Stocks data will be released.
Canada's January Ivey purchasing managers index is set for release at 1500GMT.
The last scheduled data will be released at 1900GMT, when the January Treasury
STRIP data will cross the screens.
EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY Tuesday at $1.3580, off late Europe highs of $1.3598
after rate had spiked higher on a MNI source story suggesting current strength
of the euro will not play a part in Thursday's ECB rate decision. Rate continued
the consolidation, seen through the NY afternoon, between $1.3570/95, into the
Asian morning and the early part of the afternoon, before early Europe broke
rate under $1.3570 to $1.3561, with rate holding heavy at writing. Moves in Asia
were driven by euro-yen, the Japanese currency extending recent losses as the
cross extended recent gains to Y127.71 (dollar-yen made a show above Y94.00) in
early trade before correcting back toward Y127.00 ahead of Europe. Focus on ECB
rate meeting and following press conference Thursday, no change widely expected
but interest to be on Draghi's pointers to future direction. For today Germany
factory orders due at 1100GMT to provide interest. Support seen back at $1.3560,
a break and clear to open a deeper move toward $1.3525/20 ahead of stronger
interest into $1.3500. Resistance remains toward $1.3600, a break to open a move
toward $1.3635/40.
CABLE: The corrective pullback off post UK services PMI react highs of $1.5805
extended to $1.5630 in NY Tuesday, the rate closing the session at $1.5663. This
sharp reversal in cable was again seen driven by euro-sterling, the rate
reacting to a strong reaction to a MNI source story suggesting that ECB members
don't see the current strength of the euro as having a significant impact on
monetary policy. The cross, which had pulled back from Friday highs of stg0.8717
to stg0.8555 yesterday, bounced back to stg0.8688. Cable trade through Asia
consolidated the pullback between $1.5650/65 through Asia, while the cross was
contained within stg0.86625/0.86795. Trade continues to take direction from euro
action, with focus on Thursday's ECB rate decision, and more importantly
Draghi's press conference. Though market not expecting a change in UK rates/QE
at Thursday's MPC decision, the view is that an expansion of QE remains on the
table for later in the year, while the ECB holds tight. Thursday also brings BOE
Governor in waiting Mark Carney's appearance before the TSC to judge how he will
direct MPC decisions going forward. Cable support seen at $1.5630/20, more
toward $1.5600. Resistance $1.5665 ahead of $1.5680.
CABLE: Traders flash up that real money account appears as an early seller, but
trader says coverage was reasonably easy. Rate currently seen easing through the
overnight base at $1.5651, touching a low at $1.5648. NY saw a low of $1.5630
with traders noting demand seen between $1.5630/20 should we revisit this area.
Below here and $1.5608 moves into view, 1.618% swing projection based off the
recent recovery from $1.5683 to $1.5805 as well as a 50% retrace of the rally
from $1.5235 to $1.6381.
YEN: Dollar-yen extended its recent recovery Tuesday, the market reacting to the
early standing down of BOJ Governor Shirakawa to Mar19 (joining the departure
data of his two deputies), with rate pushing through Y93.50 to Y93.65. A brief
pullback to Y93.46 in early Asia quickly attracted fresh demand with rate able
to step its way higher through the session before pushing through barrier
interest at Y94.00 (Y93.96 38.2% Y124.14-75.13) to Y94.06. Euro-yen tracked this
move, the rate extending to Y127.71 during the Asian afternoon. Profit take
demand for yen emerged ahead of the European open to press dollar-yen back to
Y93.68/euro-yen to Y127.05. Technical traders still see further upside
potential, one highlighting Y95.70. Now that market has a date for the change in
the BOJ old guard it will open speculation to who will take over, as well as the
two new deputies. Dollar-yen offers seen to Y94.20, with stops Y94.20/25.
Further offers into Y94.50. Support seen from Y93.50 through to Y93.20, stops
through Y93.00.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are lower Wednesday, boosted by the
weaker yen. The Nikkei 225 was higher by 416.83 points, or 3.77%, at 11463.75.
Into the close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by 29.46 points at 969.16.
Market breadth indicators saw 213 issue higher, 8 lower and 4 unchanged.
Preliminary volume stood at 3.1 bn shares.
BOJ: The Bank of Japan released a brief statement that BOJ Governor Masaaki
Shirakawa told Prime Minister Shinzo Abe today that he had decided to resign on
March 19 before his five-year term ends on April 8. The five-year terms of his
two deputies end on March 19.
BOJ: More from press conference in Maebashi City, north of Tokyo, by Bank of
Japan policy board member Takehiro Sato:
-- BOJ SATO: MUST TAKE STEPS IF BANKS STOP BIDDING IN BOJ OPS
-- BOJ SATO: MAY GUIDE RATES LOWER IF UNDERS-UBSCRIPTION RISES
-- BOJ Sato: CRAPPING INTEREST ON EXCESS RESERVES AN OPTION
-- BOJ Sato: Must be flexible about raising BOJ asset buying
-- BOJ Sato: Unrealistic to hit CPI target by guiding yen lower
-- BOJ Sato: Monetary easing indirectly affects forex
-- BOJ Sato: Open-ended easing to intensify impact on forex
-- BOJ Sato: 2% target is anchor, to stop CPI from overshooting
-- BOJ Sato: Wage recovery needed to hit 2% inflation target
-- BOJ Sato: Japan economy to improve in or after Q2
-- BOJ Sato: Must watch how far Japan interest rates will fall
BOJ: Greg Anderson of CitiFX says of BOJ Gov Shirakawa stepping down earlier
than expected (March 19 instead of when his 5-year term ends April
, "thisearly resignation therefore pulls forward the first meeting of the new BOJ board
by 22 days." (BOJ decisions Feb 14, March 7, April 4 and April 26). By leaving
early, Shirakawa "has put pressure on the government" to announce its preferred
candidate and start the Diet confirmation process. The prospects of a "messy
confirmation could tip the scale toward ADB head Haruhiko Kuroda, who is not
viewed as the most willing to aggressively expand the balance sheet and
potentially purchase foreign bonds in that expansion," Anderson says. Another
candidate, Kazumasa Iwata, is viewed as most bullish for USDJPY. If Iwata is not
appointed, the market may be disappointed, which could mean "another short and
shallow dip (in dollar-yen), but if the government's designates for Governor and
the two Deputies has his name on the list as a Deputy, then there may be no
USDJPY dip whatsoever," he says.
GOLD: Spot gold prices continue to trade around unchanged levels
Wednesday after posting some marginal losses during the previous day.
Spot gold ended Tuesday's session $0.75 lower at $1672.95/oz as demand
for the precious metal slows down in China ahead of the Lunar New Year
holiday next week. Spot gold prices have continued to be tied to a
narrow range during Asian traded hours this morning, holding at an
intra-day low of $1671.35/oz from an initial high of $1675.20/oz. Offers
are reported above the market at $1692/oz with some medium bids seen
working below at $1664/oz. Spot gold now trades at $1672.90/oz,
unchanged on the session.
OIL: March NYMEX WTI prices are trading around unchanged levels
Wednesday after recovering some of the sharp losses posted during
Monday's decline. March WTI futures ended Tuesday's session 47 cents
higher at $96.64 a barrel after trading in a $95.91 to $97.07 range.
Prices have been held in a narrow range so far this morning, edging back
higher from an initial low of $96.51 to highs of $96.70 a barrel. Market
participants attention now turns to supply data due from the Energy
Information Administration (EIA) later today at 1530GMT. March WTI
futures now trade just above unchanged levels at $96.67 a barrel, up 3
cents on the session.
NATURAL GAS: NYMEX March natural gas prices are trading modestly higher
Wednesday, extending their gains from the previous day. March WTI
futures ended Tuesday's session up 8.4 cents, or 2.5%, at $3.399 per
million British thermal units (Btu) after trading in a $3.318 to $3.407
range. Prices remain underpinned in the short-term by some colder
Northeast and Midwest forecasts over the next few days. March natural
gas futures have remained in positive territory so far this morning,
advancing from lows of $3.398 to highs of $3.432 per mln Btu and now
trade at $3.411 per mln Btu, up from last night's close of $3.399 per
mln Btu.
OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.3450, $1.3500, $1.3530, $1.3600, $1.3700
* Dollar-yen; Y93.00, Y93.25, Y93.50
* Cable; $1.5630, $1.5700, $1.5800
* Aussie; $1.0415, $1.0435
EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Eurozone sovereign T-bill issuance has been
completed for this week, with E16.98bln allocated by Netherlands, France,
Greece, Belgium and ESM compared to E17.989bln allotted last week. To recap, on
Monday Netherlands sold E2.76bln 3-month DTC at average yield of 0.00% and sold
E1.03bln 6-month DTC at average yield of 0.021%. In the afternoon, France sold
E3.995 3-month BTF at average yield 0.011%, E1.89bln 6-month BTF at average
yield 0.047% and E1.497bln 12-month BTF at average yield 0.162%. On Tuesday
Greece sold E812.5mln 26-week T-bill at average yield 4.27%. Belgium sold
E1.505bln 3-month T-bill at average yield 0.038% and E1.541bln 6-month T-bill at
average yield 0.075%. Finally the ESM sold E1.949bln in 3-month Bill at average
yield 0.0158%. T-bill issuance is expected to jump higher next week with plans
from Germany, France, Spain, Italy, Greece, Belgium and Ireland, and could total
E27.0bln.
EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Germany comes to the market Wednesday with re-opening of its
5-year benchmark 0.50% Feb 2018 Bobl issue for up to E4.0bln. Overall, sovereign
bond issuance in the Eurozone so far this week is scheduled from Austria,
Belgium, Germany, France and Spain and is expected to pick up to around E17.1bln
vs E16.13bln sold last week. As a recap, Austria tapped its benchmark 7-year
1.95% June 2019 RAGB and also 10-year 3.40% Nov 2022 RAGB issues on Tuesday for
combined size of E1.1bln. Looking ahead, France taps 2.50% Oct 2020 OAT,
re-opens 10-year benchmark 2.25% Oct 2022 OAT and taps 15-year benchmark 2.75%
Oct 2027 OAT on Thursday for between E7.0bln and E8.0bln. Also on Thursday,
Spain tap off-the-run 2.75% Mar 2015 Bono, tap 5-year benchmark 4.50% Jan 2018
Bono and tap off-the-run 6.00% Jan 2029 Obligacion for between E3.5bln-E4.5bln.
On Friday, Belgium is due to hold an ORI auction -- but still due to be
confirmed. In terms of reinvestment flows, there are no redemptions due this
week with moderate coupon payments from Finland E0.02bln and Greece E0.01bln.
For full details of forthcoming issues, please see Eurozone bond auction
calendar & MNI Eurozone Net Cash Flow Matrix.
EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Feb 06 ECB bank lending survey
- Feb 06 EU Parliament debates plans on 2014-2020 Budget
- Feb 07 ECB Governing Council meeting, Draghi press conference
- Feb 07/08 European Leaders summit in Brussel
- Feb 07 Spain sells Bono bonds
- Feb 08 Greek T-bill redemption for E1.975bln
- Feb 08 ECB announces 3-year LTRO payback total amount
- Feb 11 Eurogroup meeting
- Feb 12 ECOFIN meeting
- Feb 12 ECB Draghi at a closed Spanish Parliament meeting from 1300GMT to
1430GMT, but also a presser should follow directly
- Feb 12 Italy T-bill auction
- Feb 12 Spain sells 6-/12-month T-bills
- Feb 12 Greece sells new 13-week T-bills for up to E1.0bln
- Feb 13 European Commission publishes forecasts
US: Timeline of key events in the US for the next few weeks:
- Feb 06 Fed Outright Tsy Coupon Purch 11/15/2018-01/31/2020 $3-$3.75bn
- Feb 06 US Treasury announces 3-10-30Y refunding auctions at 09:00 ET
- Feb 06 Treasury STRIPS at 15:00 ET
- Feb 07 Fed Outright Tsy Coupon Purch 02/15/2036-11/15/2042 $1.25-$1.75bn
- Feb 07 UST announces 3/6m bills at 11:00 ET
- Feb 07 Fed Evans (voter) on CNBC at 08:00 ET
- Feb 07 Fed Bullard gives remarks
- Feb 07 Fed Gov. Stein speaks at St. Louis Fed's research symposium
- Feb 07 Treasury Auction Allotments at 15:00 ET
- Feb 07 Money Supply (M2) at 16:30 ET
- Feb 08 Fed Outright TIPS Purch 04/15/2017-02/15/2042 $1-$1.5bn
- Feb 08 Fed Kocherlakota (non-voter) at NYU Stern School of Business
- Feb 10 Chinese Lunar New Year holiday (likely to affect US market activity,
Mainland China and Taiwan out Feb 11-15; Hong Kong out Feb 11-13)
- Feb 11 Fed Outright Tsy Coupon Purch 2/15/2036-11/15/2042 $1.25-$1.75bn
Oferta pracy w MNI(Market News Information-Deutsche Borse Group) jakby ktoś był zainteresowany:
INDUSTRY NEWS: MNI are looking for FX Reporters/Analysts in Singapore, London
and New York. The London position involves the possibility of covering US or
Asia working hour shifts. The positions may suit someone who wants to make a
transition from trading. Candidates are expected to have a broad set of contacts
in the FX markets. Please send CVs to clive@marketnews.com
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"
Re: DayTrading: Środa 6.02.2013
czyżby kontynuacja Poniedziałku czy może zmyłka nakręcona przez Byków?
nikkei po nocy niemal czwórka z przodu, ale tam balangi mają hehe
kabel rozczarował
nikkei po nocy niemal czwórka z przodu, ale tam balangi mają hehe
kabel rozczarował
Re: DayTrading: Środa 6.02.2013
Adam pisze:Czyli głębsza korekta cały czas możliawa
Moim zdaniem dużo głębiej ;-) 1,34
Re: DayTrading: Środa 6.02.2013
10 latki hiszpańskie idą na 5.5 kto stawia S ejku?
ja widzę tak europa dołuje do 13 później hamburgery wyciągają
ja widzę tak europa dołuje do 13 później hamburgery wyciągają
chciwość jest dobra
Re: DayTrading: Środa 6.02.2013
nje wiem jk wy ale ja mam wymarzony początek dnia 
Re: DayTrading: Środa 6.02.2013
Po H1 na Edku widać spadki nawet do 1.3450 pod warunkiem, że przejdą 1.3500.
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
Re: DayTrading: Środa 6.02.2013
ja myślę że jak ma być ciąg korekty to te poziomy zostaną szybko osiągnięteKundziu pisze:Po H1 na Edku widać spadki nawet do 1.3450 pod warunkiem, że przejdą 1.3500.
może obejdzie się bez konsolidacji