DayTrading: Środa 14.11.2012

[Nowy123]

na SP500 na D1 ladna swiecia na dalsz przecene a dzis FMOC o 20 wiec bedzie bujac pewnie troche

[molmomas]

kurcze, i znowu pewnie ploty na temat Q się pojawią i będzie się działo...

[expedient warzywniaka]

no sie kurna dalem zlapac na longa pod tą nieuformowaną flagę na m15 a tu taki zjazd... trzymalem trzymalem i pod sam koniec musialem no

[Nowy123]

kurcze, i znowu pewnie ploty na temat Q się pojawią i będzie się działo...

jakie ploty QE 3 masz bezterminowe jak na razie przed fiskal klifem nic nie beda robic jak ktos liczy na powiekszenie transzy te 40 mld durkowania

jak tutaj fiskal klif i ciecia ida nawet jak sie dogadaja to i tak ciecia jakieś beda...

[crok.]

resetuja skosnych wiec pojedziemy od 10:30 w gore:)

[Coluche]

I po co im to było ????

[niemiaszek]

Hello

There is a full calendar on both sides of the Atlantic Wednesday. On the
Continent, European data starts with French inflation data at 0745GMT.

Spanish data follows at 0800GMT, with the release of September services
data and the September industrial orders numbers.

From 0930GMT, focus turns to the UK. The latest employment report is
expected first. The unemployment data will be keenly pored over for any
sign of a slowdown in the rate of job creation in the UK economy. The
labour market has performed well in recent months, with employment
rising and claimant count unemployment falling.
The Bank of England's latest Quarterly inflation report is released at
0930GMT, followed by the regular press conference, chaired by Bank
Governor Mervyn King.
The August Inflation Report showed CPI at 1.7% in Q4 2014, the two
year forecast point for this report and it is likely to be at least at,
or a little above, that level this time around.
In the subsequent press conference BOE Governor Mervyn King will have to
explain why the Monetary Policy Committee did not extend quantitative
easing at is Nov 7 and 8 meeting. King will, inevitably, be grilled
about the BOE's announcement that it is transferring the coupon income on
its stock of QE gilts to the Treasury - which in itself amounts to a
modest monetary easing and opens up a can of worms about the respective
roles of the MPC and the Bank's executive.
Although King does not step down until June 2014, today's presser is
likely to be the last before his successor is named by the Chancellor,
probably at the time of the Autumn Statement.

In between the UK calendar entries, the EMU September industrial output
numbers will be released at 1000GMT.

With Congress back after the election - albeit in a lame duck session -
focus will be on progress between the White House and Congressional
leaders on fiscal talks.
President Obama is scheduled for a post-election press conference, which
is pencilled in for 1830GMT.

UK PRESS: The Telegraph warns the rise in inflation seen in Tuesday's
data threatens a fresh squeeze on households still struggling with their
finances.

UK PRESS: A UK high court judge says Barclays will have to name the 200
or so current and former staff members implicated in their LIBOR
investigations, the Telegraph says.

UK PRESS: RBS head Stephen Hester says forcing banks to "ring fence"
retail banking operations could increase moral hazard, as groups
complying would likely expect further government bailouts if in trouble.

UK PRESS: The FT says the UK government is set to delay the next round
of welfare reform from Oct 2013 to April 2014, as the new system needs
further "system testing."



EURO-DOLLAR: Greek headlines once again drove markets and euro-dollar
closed in NY at $1.2705, the rate having recovered off pullback lows of
$1.2670. Euro-dollar opened flat in Asia and headed higher on
euro-yen demand ahead of the Tokyo fix, the rate extended gains to
$1.2715 as risk appetite improved across the board. Light profit take
sales eased before demand met in the dip, the rate squeezed to $1.2729
and a re-test of yesterday's intraday high. Tight range trade continued
with a Swiss name a noted buyer in late dealings, the pair last $1.2715
ahead of Europe. On the topside offers reported at $1.2735/40, tech
resistance behind at $1.2741 (38.2% of $Jul-Sep rally), ahead of $1.2752
(61.8% of $1.2791-1.2690). Data light in the US today with main
highlights from Retail Sales and PPI, released at 1330GMT.

EURO-DOLLAR: Slips to $1.2706 in reaction to headlines cited in German
Newspaper Handelsblatt that said the IMF is preparing to quit the Greek
aid program. Support seen on the downside at $1.2700 from the Asian low,
through here opens bids at $1.2680, ahead of $1.2661 (13 Nov low).


CABLE: Closed in NY at $1.5872, the rate was unable to make a clean
break of $1.5900 and ground lower throughout the afternoon session.
Euro-sterling consolidated above stg0.8000 after the rate recovered off
early session lows of stg0.7970. Cable opened flat in Asia with trade
tied to a narrow range, before lifting in tandem with euro-dollar to
$1.5880. Late dealings saw the pair extend to $1.5894 as risk appetite
improved and Asian equities remained in positive territory. On the
topside tech resistance at $1.5912 (38.2% of $1.5269-$1.6309, High Aug
23, Low Oct 23), a break opens $1.5939 (100-week moving average), ahead
of offers at $1.5940/50. Euro-sterling had a quiet Asian session with
trade stuck in a tight stg0.8001-13 range with tech resistance at
stg0.8023 (55 dma), ahead of strong offers into stg0.8030. Traders look
ahead to data release from the Unemployment report at 0930GMT, followed
by the BOE Quarterly inflation report and Governor King's press
conference at 1030GMT.


DOLLAR-YEN: Closed in NY Tuesday at Y79.40, the rate having recovered
off pullback lows of Y79.35 after earlier posting a high of Y79.59.
Euro-yen closed at Y100.87 after the rate bounced off pullback lows of
Y100.61 in headline driven markets. Japanese name demand lifted
dollar-yen in early Asian dealings, before the rate pared gains with
range trade the play. Dollar met support in the dip and aided by post
fix cross demand recovered to Y79.50. Late trade saw the pair spike to
Y79.82 on headlines from PM Noda that cited the possibility he could
conditionally dissolve the House of Representatives on Friday. Euro-yen
lifted to Y101.10 in early Asia on Japanese name demand, before easing
on supply from spec names as traders reported of decent 2-way flow.
Strong post fix demand recovered to Y101.20 and extended in late
dealings to Y101.55 on PM Noda headlines.


GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading modestly higher Wednesday after
posting some slim losses the previous day. Spot gold ended Tuesday's
session $3.20 lower at $1725/oz after prices remained pinned in to trade
on a range bound basis as markets await a sense of how the US will
proceed in terms of tackling their fiscal cliff, which continues to
weigh on risk sentiment. Gold prices have been tied to a narrow trading
range during Asian traded hours this morning, with markets generally
buying time ahead of this afternoon's US session. Some moderate
improvement has been observed in FX pair euro-dollar which has steadied
this morning, but appears to still be lacking impetus for a decisive
rebound. Spot gold has edged its way higher, in thin trade, from an
intra-day low of $1724.70/oz to a high of $1729.65/oz and currently
trades at $1728.20/oz, up $3.20 on the session.


OIL: December NYMEX WTI prices are trading marginally higher Wednesday
after posting some moderate losses the previous day. December WTI
futures ended Tuesday's session 19 cents lower at $85.38 a barrel after
the International Energy Agency further cut its demand outlook for the
fourth quarter and 2013 amid a rebound in oil exports from sanctions hit
Iran. The adviser to industrialised nations on energy policy said OPEC
member Iran's exports jumped by a third to 1.3mln barrels per day in
October from the earlier two months. This morning, WTI futures have been
tied to a narrow trading range with little seen to influence direction.
December WTI futures have picked up from an intra-day low of $85.14 and
printed a session high of $85.57 a barrel a few moments ago, with the
market currently seen trading $85.56 a barrel, up 18 cents on the
session.


NATURAL GAS: NYMEX December natural gas prices are trading higher
Wednesday extending their sharp gains from the previous day. December
natural gas futures ended Tuesday's session 16.9 cents higher, or 4.73%,
at $3.739 per million British thermal units (Btu), with prices
underpinned by colder weather over the eastern half of the nation and
expectations for the season's first drawdown for inventories this week.
Estimates for Thursday's EIA storage report currently range from a
withdrawal of 17bcf to a build of 15bcf, with the majority looking for a
single digit decline. December natural gas futures initially extended to
highs of $3.795 per mln Btu during Asian traded hours this morning
before paring back to an intra-day low of $3.757, with the market now
seen trading $3.765 per mln Btu, up from last night's close of $3.739
per mln Btu.


FX: Option expiries for today's 1000 NY cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2700, $1.2725, $1.2750, $1.2810, $1.2900
* Cable; $1.5900
* Aussie; $1.0385, $1.0400, $1.0420, $1.0450
* Dollar-yen; Y79.20, Y79.25, Y79.35, Y79.40, Y79.85, Y80.00
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8100
* Aussie-yen; Y81.00


EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Germany and Italy come to the sovereign bond
market Wednesday. Germany is due to sell a new 2-year benchmark Dec 2014
Schatz issue for up to E5.0bln. Key focus is on Italy's mid-month BTP
auctions on Wednesday, where the Tesoro taps its 3-year benchmark 4.50%
July 2015 BTP for between E2.5bln-E3.5bln and also off-the-run 4.75% Aug
2023 BTP and 5.25% Nov 2029 BTP for between E1.0bln-E1.5bln indicative
size. Looking ahead, France taps 2-year 0.75% Sep 2014 BTAN, 3-year
3.50% Apr 2015 BTAN and 5-year benchmark 1.00% Jul 2017 BTAN Thursday
for between E6.5bln-E7.5bln. In addition, the AFT will also re-open
0.45% July 2016 BTANi, 10-year benchmark 1.10% July 2022 OATei and
15-year benchmark 1.85% July 2027 OATei for between E1.0bln-E1.5bln.
Overall, eurozone sovereign bond issuance this week is seen totalling
E21.2bln versus E11.33bln last week. So far, Slovakia tapped its floater
2016 SLOVGB218 bond on Monday for E94.2mln and the Netherlands re-opened
its 10-year benchmark 2.25% July 2022 DSL bond on Tuesday for E2.12bln.

ITALY AUCTION PREVIEW: Italy's Dipartimento del Tesoro taps its
3-year benchmark 4.50% July 2015 BTP for between E2.5bln-E3.5bln and
also off-the-run 4.75% Aug 2023 BTP and 5.25% Nov 2029 BTP issues
Wednesday for between E1.0bln-E1.5bln indicative size. The auction comes
amid recent rise in Italian yields, where the 10-year BTP yield traded
back above 5.00%. However, this cheapening bodes well and sale today is
expected to be well absorbed given the small auction size. The 2029 BTP
will be the longest maturity bond sold by the Tesoro this year. In
addition, this is likely to be the last tap of the 2015 BTP as the
Tesoro plans to sell a new 3-year Dec 2015 BTP this quarter, where next
window of opportunity is Dec 13 mid-month auction. The 2015 BTP trades
at 2.80% mid-yield and was last sold on Oct 11 for E3.75bln at an
average yield of 2.86% and then covered 1.67 times. The off-the-run
4.75% 2023 BTP was last sold in July and the 5.25% 2029 BTP was last
sold in Apr 2009, and therefore not comparable. Auction results are due
around 1010GMT.

GERMAN SCHATZ AUCTION PREVIEW: The Deutsche Finanzagentur sells a
new 2-year benchmark 0.00% Dec 2014 Schatz Wednesday for up to E5.0bln.
Grey market is implying the issue trades at -0.03% mid-yield -- well
above rich levels of -0.102% traded on Aug 2. The key factor
underpinning demand is view that this new Schatz will be the
cheapest-to-deliver (CTD) into the March futures contract. In addition,
historic results have been impressive. At the last Schatz auction on Oct
17, E4.189bln was alloted at an average yield 0.07%, covered 2.0 times,
with Buba retaining 16.2% of the sale. Prior to this, it was sold on Sep
19, where E4.084bln was allotted at an average yield of 0.06%,
bid-to-cover ratio of 2.1 times and Buba retaining 18.3% of the sale.
The average cover ratio of the last 5-auctions is 1.90 times. That said,
the auction comes around 20 mins after Italy mid-month BTP auction,
where the Tesoro is planning to sell its longest maturity bond this
year. Auction results due shortly after bidding closes at 1030GMT.


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Nov 14 Italy to sell 2015 BTP-/2023-/2039 BTP for up to E5.0bln
- Nov 14 Spain's main labor unions CCOO and UGT call general stike
- Nov 14 Portuguese CGTP union calls for a strike
- Nov 14 ECB start of reserve maintenance period
- Nov 15 Eurozone Q3 advanced GDP
- Nov 15 Italy T-bill redemption for E5.5bln
- Nov 16 Greece T-bill redemption E5.0bln--Date Greece runs out of cash
- Nov 20 Eurogroup meeting (extension) to agree final details Greek aid
- Nov 22/23 EU leaders Summit discuss the EU budget
- Nov 22 Spain Obligaciones auction
- Nov 22 ECB meeting
- Nov 23 Portugal YTD budget report
- Nov 23 Spain T-bill redemption for E5.39bln
- Nov 25 Elections in Catalonia
- Nov 27 Spain T-bill auction

[sureshot]

nie wiem dlaczego ma wrazenie, ze ta strzala w dol byla tylko, zeby wybic stopy tych ktory zagral z limitem, na to ze konsolidacja bedzie trwac i odbije do gory i odbilo, ale bez nich

[niemiaszek]

nie wiem dlaczego ma wrazenie, ze ta strzala w dol byla tylko, zeby wybic stopy tych ktory zagral z limitem, na to ze konsolidacja bedzie trwac i odbije do gory i odbilo, ale bez nich

to nie tylko wrażenie, ale to ewidentnie widać na ekg

zasięg up wychodzi do 1.2753/68, ale zobaczymy czy dadzą radę jednym pociągnięciem

[menago]

@DFX

Spadnie spadnie skoro dziś nie wybiło.

Argument który pokazałeś w poprzednim wątku ma sens, ale nawet i do niego można się znów zbliżyć, a to jest 40 pipsów.
Z drugiej strony, pomyśl co wg. tego gościa będzie oznaczać wywalenie argumentu dołem ?

Masowy zjazd w dół ?

spadanie,a wdzicie orgr na h1?????