DayTrading: Środa 12.12.2012

[crok.]

i dzis dzien blednego kola usa wyciaga gospodare za dodruk i skup a europa nie moze pozwolic na moce euro bo nie ruszy wiec 1:0 znowu dla USA bo nasi musza skupic ta makulature

[menago]

kiwi w1

[niemiaszek]

Hello



EUROPE: Ahead of the Fed, German data gets under way at 0700GMT, with
the release of the final November HICP data. French final HICP is
released at 0745GMT, along with the French October current account data.
At 0900GMT, the IEA releases their monthly oil market report. That is
followed at 1000GMT, with the release of EMU October industrial output
numbers. Germany's parliamentary budget committee votes on paying aid
tranches to Greece at 1300GMT, while EU finance ministers are to discuss
the common supervision of banks in the Eurozone, in Brussels at 1330GMT.
The US calendar continues at 1330GMT, with the release of the
Export/Import Price Index for November. At 1600GMT, ECB Governing
Council member Jens Weidmann is to speak at the Institute of Law and
Finance, in Frankfurt.

GREECE: Eurogroup ministers are set to release a statement re Greek
buyback on Thursday, following a pre-leaders summit meeting, the
Guardian says.

GREECE: There remain acouple of "unresolved" issues over the Greek debt
buyback, eKathimerini says. The website sayus the main two issues are
over the overall cost of the buyback, coming in at around E11.2 bn,
above the pre-arranged E10 bn limit. Also, the website says, the deal
brings the debt outstanding down less thab 10% and will leave the
debt-to-GDP ration at 126.5%, above the IMF's 124% target.

BUNDS: Mar Bunds open down 17 ticks Wednesday at 145.24.



UK: At 1045GMT, BOE Chief Economist Spencer Dale speaks at an MNI event in
London.

UK PRESS: The FT notes the UK's four largest mobile operators have all
submitted their applications and stg 100,000 deposits for the 4G
Spectrum licenses. The paper notes that BT has also registered interest,
although only at the higher and cheaper end of the spectrum. Bidding for
the licenses is expected to start in January, with analysts estimating
the sale could net the government between stg 2 and stg 4 bn. The sale
of the 3G spectrum licenses in 2000 netted the government stg 22.5 bn.



US: The highlight of Wednesday's session is the Fed's FOMC policy decision,
followed by the quarterly press conference from Fed Chair Ben Bernanke.
MNI's Steve Beckner says it's nearly certain Fed policymakers will
replace "Operation Twist" asset purchases that expire Dec. 31. But
disparate views about the size and composition of 2013 asset purchases
are on display.
Beckner adds that the odds seem to favor the Fed continuing to buy bonds
at an $85 billion monthly pace, but less certain is the purchase mix.
Some believe current proportions. Others would like to see increased MBS
buying





EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY at $1.3003 after easing off a session high of
$1.3015. A fairly subdued trading session through Asia with the rate
consolidating Tuesday's recovery between $1.3000/14 for most of the
session, making a late session low at $1.2997 before settling around
$1.3000 ahead of the European open. This afternoon's FOMC policy
decision remains in focus, with Fiscal Cliff discussions continuing to
bubble away in the background. Risk remains in favour and seen helping
to buoy euro-dollar. German and French CPI due up in early Europe ahead
of EMU IP at 1000GMT, with any comments emanating out of the ECOFIN
banking supervision conference to be of interest. Offers remain in place
between $1.3015/20 with stops above, a break to open a move toward
$1.3030/35 ($1.3031 61.8% $1.3127-1.2876) ahead of $1.3050 and
$1.3070/80 ($1.3068 76.4%). Support seen at $1.2980/70, more at
$1.2950/40.

EURO-DOLLAR: Picking up more talk of upside stops, more on a break of
$1.3020. This adds to earlier talk of offers placed between $1.3015/20,
with one major bank noting stops beginning from above $1.3015 and
trailing up to $1.3025. Rate currently trades around $1.3006. Next
resistance noted at $1.3031 (61.8% $1.3127-1.2876).


CABLE: Closed in NY at $1.6110 after the rate saw decent demand through
Tuesday's session that got it to an eventual high of $1.6122. Rate edged
higher in early Asia, recovering to $1.6120 before momentum faded and it
drifted off to $1.6108. Another rally to $1.6120 was again rebuffed with
pullback this time extending overnight lows to $1.6105 before it settled
back between $1.6110/15 ahead of Europe. The move up in cable has been
seen on the coat tails of euro-dollar as euro-sterling extended its
recovery to stg0.8077 Tuesday, consolidating this move in Asia between
stg0.80675-0.80725. UK employment data due at 0930GMT will provide the
domestic interest this morning, though this afternoon's FOMC policy
decision in the US is seen as the main general focus. Cable offers seen
back in place around $1.6120, more between recent highs at $1.6127-31,
with stops in place above $1.6135. Next resistance/offers then seen
into $1.6150. Support remains into $1.6100, a break to allow for a
deeper move toward $1.6080 ahead of $1.6050. The cross has sell interest
between stg0.8075/85, a break to expose stg0.8100. Bids stg0.8045-30.


YEN: Euro-yen led the overnight pressure on the yen with dollar-yen able
to edge up from an early Y82.47 low to Y82.70 as the cross rallied from
Y107.27 to Y107.51, before it settled between Y107.40/50 ahead of the
European open. Dollar-yen eased off its highs, settling between
Y82.60/70 into Europe. Strong offers remain in lace between Y82.85-83.00
linked to option interest, with stops above. Support seen at Y82.30/20.
For the cross, offers remain in place around Y107.50, a clear above to
open a move toward Y107.90-8.00. Support Y107.10/106.95. This
afternoon's FOMC policy decision out of the US to provide next
direction, especially in dollar-yen, with the BOJ policy announcement
also awaited Thursday.

JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stock indices ended Wednesday's
session higher. The Nikkei 225 was higher by 56.14 points, or 0.59%, at
9581.46. Just ahead of the close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by
5.47 points at 791.54. Preliminary volume in the Nikkei stocks totalled
1.067 Bn shares, with 159 issues higher, 45 lower and 21 unchanged.


GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading modestly higher Wednesday after
posting some marginal losses the previous day. Spot gold ended Tuesday's
session $2.65 lower at $1710.30/oz in what was largely a range bound
session with muted trading volumes ahead of the conclusion of the
two-day FOMC meeting, scheduled later today at 1730GMT. One item of note
yesterday had traders talking about analysis that points out central
banks started adding to gold reserves when the Fed started aggressive
debt monetization (i.e., QE). Despite relative softness in gold prices
in recent months, central banks have been steadily accumulating gold to
diversify reserve holdings. Between Sep 2011-Sep 2012, central banks
added about 1.4% to their gold holdings, the highest annual increase
since they began to aggressively accumulate gold in March 2009. Spot
gold prices have remained in a narrow range during Asian hours this
morning ahead of today's FOMC policy decision, picking up from an
intra-day low of $1708.95/oz to print a session high of around
$1713.20/oz a few moments ago and now trade $1712.60/oz, up $2.30.


OIL: January NYMEX WTI futures are trading around unchanged levels
Wednesday after posting some slim gains the previous day. January WTI
futures ended Tuesday's session up $0.23 at $85.79 a barrel, after
trading in a $85.21 to $86.37 range. After the New York settlement, data
released by the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed US crude oil
supplies rose by 4.3mln barrels in the week ending December 7. This
morning, oil prices have been tied to a narrow trading range so far
during Asian hours ahead of the conclusion of the two-day FOMC meeting,
due to be published at 1730GMT. Market participants will also be keeping
an eye on a gathering by OEC ministers and also the EIA petroleum status
report, which is scheduled for release at 1530GMT. January WTI prices
have advanced from lows of $85.68 this morning to an intra-day high of
$86.03 and now trade at $85.81 a barrel, up 2 cents on the session.


NATURAL GAS: NYMEX January natural gas prices are trading modestly lower
Wednesday after ending the previous day in negative territory for the
fourth consecutive session. January natural gas futures ended Tuesday's
session down 4.8 cents, or 1.4%, at $3.412 per million British thermal
units (mln Btu) after sliding early on to a six-week low of $3.391. The
front month contract has now shed almost 8% in the previous four trading
days after hitting a 13-month high of $3.933 a little over two weeks
ago. Commodity Weather Group said that it expected temperatures for the
eastern half of the US to average above normal next week, then moderate
to mostly seasonal during the Christmas week. Natural gas prices have
remained in a narrow range so far this morning, paring back from highs
of $3.427 to hold at an intra-day low of $3.402 and now trade at $3.404
per mln Btu, marginally lower from last night's close of $3.412 per mln
Btu.


FX: Option expiries for today's 1000EST cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2900, $1.2950, $1.3000, $1.3075
* Dollar-yen; Y82.20, Y82.25, Y82.30, Y82.40, Y82.50, Y83.00
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8100
* Aussie; $1.0500, $1.0525


EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Italy will be the last Eurozone sovereign to
come to the T-bill market Wednesday with plans to issue E6.5bln new
12-month Dec 13, 2013 BOT. To recap on Monday Netherlands allotted
E1.08bln 3-month DTC at average yield -0.041% and E1.07bln 6-month DTC
at average yield -0.04%. In the afternoon, France sold E3.495 3-month
BTF at average yield -0.026%, E1.196bln 6-month BTF at average yield
-0.015% and E1.293bln 12-month BTF at average yield -0.012%. On Tuesday
Spain sold E2.385bln 12-month Letra at average yield 2.556% and sold
E1.505bln 6-month Letra at average yield 2.778%. Greece sold E2.7625bln
4-week T-bill at average yield 3.99% and E1.625bln 26-week T-bill at
average yield 4.38%. Belgium sold E210mln 3-month TC at average yield
-0.0319% and sold E1.001bln 12-month TC at average yield -0.0039%.
Lastly, Slovenia sold E34.562mln 3-month T-bill at average price of
99.826.

EUROZONE ISSUANCE: There is no sovereign bond issuance scheduled in
the eurozone Wednesday, with focus on announcement from the Dutch State
Treasury Agency (DSTA) on its funding programme for 2013. So far,
Slovakia tapped the 4.35% 2025 SLOVGB216 issue on Monday for E76.3mln.
On Tuesday, the Austrian Federal Financing Agency (AFFA) tapped its
7-year benchmark 1.95% June 2019 RAGB and 10-year benchmark 3.40% Nov
2022 RAGB issues for E1.1bln combined size. Looking ahead, Spain taps
its 3.75% Oct 2015 Bono, 5.50% July 2017 Obligaciones and 4.90% July
2040 Obligaciones issues on Thursday for E1.0bln-E2.0bln. Also on
Thursday, Italy sells a new 3-year benchmark 2.75% Dec 2015 BTP for
E2.5bln-E3.5bln and also tap its 15-year benchmark 4.50% Mar 2026 BTP
for between E500mln-E750mln. In terms of reinvestment flows, redemption
payments from Germany E17.0bln and Italy E18.69bln, and coupon payment
from Italy E1.4bln and Germany E0.2bln -- turns net cash flow positive
to the tune of E29.4bln vs -E12.0bln last week. For full details of
forthcoming issues, please see Eurozone bond auction calendar.

ITALY T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: The Italian Dipartimento Del Tesoro
issue E6.5bln of a new 12-month Dec 13, 2013 BOT on Wednesday. The old
12-month Nov 14, 2013 BOT yield has risen by around 30bps since
Thursday, and therefore the new Dec 13, 2013 BOT will be appear more
attractive to investors. Although, in the grey market the new Dec 14,
2013 BOT looks a little rich vs the Nov 14, 2013 BOT, as mid-yield is
seen at 1.695%, representing only a 8bps discount. Markets will probably
look to a spread closer to 12bps before switching. The recent increase
in yield, the fact that there will be a E10.7bln BOT redemption on Dec
14, - net cash flow will be positive to the tune of E4.2bln, and this
being the last 12-month BOT auction this year, demand is likely to be
high. At the last 12-month BOT auction back on Nov 13, the Tesoro sold
E6.5bln at average yield of 1.762% with cover 1.76 times. Results due to
be announced around 1005GMT.


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Dec 12 Greek FinMin announces buy-back results at 0800GMT
- Dec 12 ECOFIN emergency meeting to discuss banking supervision
- Dec 12 Spain requested bank bailout to be disbursed
- Dec 12 ECB start of reserve maintenance period
- Dec 12 Italy 12-month T-bill auction for E6.5bln
- Dec 13 German Merkel delivers govt declaration in German parliament
- Dec 13 Eurozone FinMins discuss Greece, in Brussels
- Dec 13 ECB to publish November Monthly Bulletin
- Dec 13/14 EU Leaders Summit (to discuss Van Rompuy report)
- Dec 13/14 IMF and ECB hold joint conference on fiscal governance
- Dec 13 Spain 2015-/2017-/2040 bond auction for up to E2.0bln
- Dec 13 ECB to publish November Monthly Bulletin
- Dec 13 Italy mid-month BTP auction
- Dec 14 Germany upper house to vote on German 2013 budget bill
- Dec 14 EMU Dec flash manufacturing/services PMI data

[expedient warzywniaka]

a tak poza tym mistrzu gdzies ty byl jak edek lecial z 13026 na 12880 a juz mialo byc 13280 cos nam zamilkles

Nudzi mi się pisanie z demowcową pewną siebie drobnicą. Nie mam na myśli Ciebie.

-- Dodano: śr 12-12-2012, 8:24 --

kiwi w1

haha
myślę, że wykres roczny byłby jeszcze odpowiedniejszy dla celów daytradingu

[menago]

a tak poza tym mistrzu gdzies ty byl jak edek lecial z 13026 na 12880 a juz mialo byc 13280 cos nam zamilkles

Nudzi mi się pisanie z demowcową pewną siebie drobnicą. Nie mam na myśli Ciebie.

-- Dodano: śr 12-12-2012, 8:24 --

kiwi w1

haha
myślę, że wykres roczny byłby jeszcze odpowiedniejszy dla celów daytradingu

ale by wiedziec jak dzialac na dt,to musze wiedziec co jest wyzej,poza tym wkleilem ten wykres bo naowy nie widzial trojkata,ktorego juz tam mam od miesiaca

[Nowy123]

Hong Kong Monetary Authority Chief Executive Norman Chan said Monday that if the process of deleveraging is disrupted by quantitative easing, asset prices might drop sharply and remain volatile.



When delivering a speech entitled the Global Deleveraging: The Right Track at the Hong Kong Economic Summit 2013, Chan said that excessive leveraging, or over-borrowing, in major industrialized countries was the root cause of both the global financial crisis and the more recent sovereign debt crisis plaguing Europe.



Chan said quantitative easing is not a panacea, but it is the exact opposite of deleveraging. In the past three years, quantitative easing had limited stimulating effect on the real economy. "In order to solve the structural imbalances built up in the past two decades, we must get to the bottom of the problem."



There is a possibility that quantitative easing produces the desired results, which is a very desirable scenario as global economy will return to its normal growth path, he noted.



However, there is a possibility that the process of deleveraging is disrupted by quantitative easing, leading to sharp increases in asset prices in the first place. Yet, since such increases are not supported by economic fundamentals, any increase in wealth will be seen as transient.



As a result, households are unwilling to increase spending and in the end, the real economy fails to rebound, if inflationary pressure builds up alongside asset price increases, central banks may consider exiting the market and raise interest rates, the authority's head said.



When economic performance, inflation or monetary policy falls short of market expectation, asset prices might drop sharply and remain volatile, he added.



Chan said he was certain that since the outlook for macro economic and financial environment is very uncertain, it is highly possible that large fund inflows and outflows as well as sharp fluctuations in the financial markets will continue to be seen.



"We should all take precautionary measures and get to the bottom of the problem, learn from others' experiences and avoid overstretching ourselves. Otherwise, we may find ourselves being trapped in the debt abyss with no way out," he said.

Average:

-- Dodano: śr 12-12-2012, 9:14 --

za duzo ludzi oczekuje ze druknie FED wiecej kasy szczegolnie ze ciecia robia a Ci maja drukowac wiecej paranoja
Kiwi na oporze powienie korekcic

kiwi na jakim tym oporze ?,,,,,,,,,,,,,tak samo jak s&p,lata kolo oporu by go w koncu puknac

poza tym kiwi na w 1 wybilo sie z trojkata

z czego na jakim inter bo jakos nie widze tego trojkata

[/quote]
bardzo ciekawe i prawdziwe,ale niestety kraje to robia,juz w 2008 roku ,po Q1 czytalem prognozy goscia ze stanow co przewidzial kryzys i upadekLB,ze dodruk to nic innego jak banka spekulacyjna kolejna,ze za drukowane,skupuja upadajace firmy itd,a prawa rynku sa od lat takie same za slaby musi upasc,ale nie bede klocil sie teraz z rynkiem skoro daje zarobic[/quote]

drukuja wszyscy UK CHiny Japonia USA tak banksterzy stworzyli ten system odchodzac od parytetu zlota o to im chodzilo wraz z mozliwoscia zadluzania sie na potege krajow....

,,dajcie mi władzę nad pieniądzem, a nie będzie mnie obchodziło kto ustala prawo". to od lat jest kultowe powiedzenie lobbing opacanie kampanie - marionetek kongresmenow itp itd coz tak ten chory system dziala i nie tylko w USA

[menago]

Hong Kong Monetary Authority Chief Executive Norman Chan said Monday that if the process of deleveraging is disrupted by quantitative easing, asset prices might drop sharply and remain volatile.



When delivering a speech entitled the Global Deleveraging: The Right Track at the Hong Kong Economic Summit 2013, Chan said that excessive leveraging, or over-borrowing, in major industrialized countries was the root cause of both the global financial crisis and the more recent sovereign debt crisis plaguing Europe.



Chan said quantitative easing is not a panacea, but it is the exact opposite of deleveraging. In the past three years, quantitative easing had limited stimulating effect on the real economy. "In order to solve the structural imbalances built up in the past two decades, we must get to the bottom of the problem."



There is a possibility that quantitative easing produces the desired results, which is a very desirable scenario as global economy will return to its normal growth path, he noted.



However, there is a possibility that the process of deleveraging is disrupted by quantitative easing, leading to sharp increases in asset prices in the first place. Yet, since such increases are not supported by economic fundamentals, any increase in wealth will be seen as transient.



As a result, households are unwilling to increase spending and in the end, the real economy fails to rebound, if inflationary pressure builds up alongside asset price increases, central banks may consider exiting the market and raise interest rates, the authority's head said.



When economic performance, inflation or monetary policy falls short of market expectation, asset prices might drop sharply and remain volatile, he added.



Chan said he was certain that since the outlook for macro economic and financial environment is very uncertain, it is highly possible that large fund inflows and outflows as well as sharp fluctuations in the financial markets will continue to be seen.



"We should all take precautionary measures and get to the bottom of the problem, learn from others' experiences and avoid overstretching ourselves. Otherwise, we may find ourselves being trapped in the debt abyss with no way out," he said.

Average:

-- Dodano: śr 12-12-2012, 9:14 --

za duzo ludzi oczekuje ze druknie FED wiecej kasy szczegolnie ze ciecia robia a Ci maja drukowac wiecej paranoja
Kiwi na oporze powienie korekcic

kiwi na jakim tym oporze ?,,,,,,,,,,,,,tak samo jak s&p,lata kolo oporu by go w koncu puknac

poza tym kiwi na w 1 wybilo sie z trojkata

z czego na jakim inter bo jakos nie widze tego trojkata

bardzo ciekawe i prawdziwe,ale niestety kraje to robia,juz w 2008 roku ,po Q1 czytalem prognozy goscia ze stanow co przewidzial kryzys i upadekLB,ze dodruk to nic innego jak banka spekulacyjna kolejna,ze za drukowane,skupuja upadajace firmy itd,a prawa rynku sa od lat takie same za slaby musi upasc,ale nie bede klocil sie teraz z rynkiem skoro daje zarobic[/quote]

drukuja wszyscy UK CHiny Japonia USA tak banksterzy stworzyli ten system odchodzac od parytetu zlota o to im chodzilo wraz z mozliwoscia zadluzania sie na potege krajow....

,,dajcie mi władzę nad pieniądzem, a nie będzie mnie obchodziło kto ustala prawo". to od lat jest kultowe powiedzenie lobbing opacanie kampanie - marionetek kongresmenow itp itd coz tak ten chory system dziala i nie tylko w USA[/quote]
dokladnie,ty to wiesz i ja to wiem i jeszcze wielu,,ale skoro teraz rynek daje zarobic,to jest ok,ale caly czas mam w glowie,ze to do niczego nie doprowadzi tylko do super inflacji w przyszlosci,ale kiedy ?to tego nie wiem,pozniej bedzie tragedia.........................
a co do marionetek,to Merlin kiedys wkleij ten filmik,nie ktorzy go wysmiali,ale czemu w zadnej TV o tym nie wspomnieli??????????
http://iptak.pl/film-online/obama-wielk ... Mg08Hene3D

[molmomas]

true story nowy123

-- Dodano: 12 gru 2012, 08:37 --

a tymczasem schodzimy poniżej 1.300000000 0

-- Dodano: 12 gru 2012, 08:37 --

może

[zeuss]

wczorajszy cel zaliczony
możecie już uznać poziom 1,30111 za opór którego dzisiaj nie pokona cena

[Peter_FX]

Nie wiem czy dobrze zrobiłem że postawiłem dzisiaj na jeny, euro spada za to ejki nie bardzo się kwapią.

,,dajcie mi władzę nad pieniądzem, a nie będzie mnie obchodziło kto ustala prawo". to od lat jest kultowe powiedzenie lobbing opacanie kampanie - marionetek kongresmenow itp itd coz tak ten chory system dziala i nie tylko w USA

oj tam, jak słyszę takie teorie to od razu na myśl przychodzi mi...


upload foto