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21-Jul-2014 10:33
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Retreats From Layers Of Resistance
*RES 4: $1.3628 High July 15
*RES 3: $1.3587 Hourly support July 15 now resistance
*RES 2: $1.3574 High July 16
*RES 1: $1.3549 Hourly resistance July 18
*PRICE: $1.3527 @0833GMT
*SUP 1: $1.3491 Low July 18
*SUP 2: $1.3477 2014 Low Feb 3
*SUP 3: $1.3463 Weekly Bollinger band base
*SUP 4: $1.3421 200-WMA
*COMMENTARY: The pair took out the previous key support region noted $1.3503-12
before bouncing from ahead of the 2014 low Friday. Layers of resistance remain
$1.3549-87 with bulls needing a close above $1.3587 to confirm an easing of
bearish pressure and a shift in focus to layers of resistance $1.3628-1.3701. Of
some concern to bears are the O/S daily Slow Stochastic and the proximity of the
Bollinger base ($1.3512) with closes below a rarity.
21-Jul-2014 10:41
CABLE TECHS: $1.7151 Remains Key Resistance This Week
*RES 4: $1.7198 High Oct 21 2008
*RES 3: $1.7191 2014 High July 15
*RES 2: $1.7151 Hourly resistance July 16
*RES 1: $1.7117 High July 18
*PRICE: $1.7073 @0841GMT
*SUP 1: $1.7035 Low July 18
*SUP 2: $1.7007 Low June 27
*SUP 3: $1.6999 38.2% Fibonacci $1.6696-1.7191
*SUP 4: $1.6947 55-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The dip below the $1.7059 level lacked follow through on Friday but
bulls still need to see a close above $1.7151 to regain dominance and shift
overall focus back to the rising daily channel top. While $1.7151 caps bears
hold out hope for further dips that initially target the $1.7007 support with a
close below needed to hint at a deeper correction that initially targets
$1.6920-48 with the 55-DMA at $1.6947.
21-Jul-2014 10:50
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Supported Ahead Of 55-WMA For Now
*RES 4: Y102.00 200-DMA
*RES 3: Y101.80 High July 16
*RES 2: Y101.63 Hourly support July 17 now resistance
*RES 1: Y101.45 Hourly resistance July 21
*PRICE: Y101.30 @0850GMT
*SUP 1: Y101.10 55-WMA
*SUP 2: Y100.82 Falling daily channel base, Mthly low May 21
*SUP 3: Y100.75 2014 Low Feb 4
*SUP 4: Y100.45 High Nov 15 2013 now support
*COMMENTARY: Dollar-yen continues to find support around the 55-WMA and
Bollinger band base ahead of the key Y100.75-82 support region. Layers of
resistance remain clustered tightly in the Y101.45-102.35 region with bulls
needing a close above Y101.63 to confirm an easing of bearish pressure and a
close above the 200-DMA to shift focus back to the Y102.20-35 region where the
Bollinger band top is located.
21-Jul-2014 10:57
EURO-YEN TECHS: Bears Take Comfort In Close Below 55-WMA
*RES 4: Y138.28 21-DMA
*RES 3: Y138.09 High July 16
*RES 2: Y137.79 Hourly resistance July 16
*RES 1: Y137.42 Hourly resistance July 17
*PRICE: Y137.00 @0857GMT
*SUP 1: Y136.71 Hourly support July 18
*SUP 2: Y136.23 2014 Low Feb 4
*SUP 3: Y134.86 Falling daily channel base
*SUP 4: Y134.10 Low Nov 20 2013
*COMMENTARY: The pair closed last week marginally below the 55-WMA (Y137.36) for
the first weekly close below since Nov 2012 and adds weight to the bearish case.
Layers of resistance remain on the hourly time frame with bulls needing a close
above Y137.42 to ease the current bearish pressure and above the Y138.09 July 16
high to shift focus to further layers of resistance Y138.28-139.51 which
includes key moving averages and Fibonacci retracements.
21-Jul-2014 11:05
EURO-STERLING TECHS: Above Gbp0.7938 To Ease Bearish Pressure
*RES 4: Gbp0.8033 High June 25
*RES 3: Gbp0.7980 Hourly resistance July 2
*RES 2: Gbp0.7956 Falling wedge top, 21-DMA
*RES 1: Gbp0.7938 Hourly resistance July 15
*PRICE: Gbp0.7922 @0905GMT
*SUP 1: Gbp0.7903 Hourly support July 17
*SUP 2: Gbp0.7887 Low Sept 5 2012
*SUP 3: Gbp0.7881 Bollinger band base, Falling wedge base
*SUP 4: Gbp0.7810 Monthly Low Aug 16 2012
*COMMENTARY: Euro-sterling has bounced a little from above the fresh 2014 and
nearly 2 year lows set last Thursday & falling daily wedge base, but bears
continue to retain overall focus on the 2012 low. Initial resistance remains on
the hourlies at Gbp0.7938 with bulls needing a close above Gbp0.7938 to confirm
an easing of bearish pressure and above Gbp0.7980 to shift focus back to the key
Gbp0.8033 level. Initial support is remains on the hourlies at Gbp0.7902.
-- Dodano: pn 21-07-2014, 11:03 --
MS = Morgan Stanley
EURO-YEN: MS FX Strategy have put out a trade recommendation and have gone short
at Y137.30, with a stop at Y138.50 and target of Y132.50. MS add euro-yen has
now broken out of the recent trading range, suggesting more downside for the
cross.