Hello
Light volumes expected today with the US out for Veterans day.
OPTIONS: Option expiries for today's NY cut 1000ET ,
* Dollar-yen; Y96.15, Y96.50, Y97.00
* Euro-yen; Y131.00, Y132.75, Y135.50
* Euro-dollar; $1.3300, $1.3450, $1.3500
* Cable; $1.5950
wersja poglądowa AT
11-Nov-2013 7:01
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Inside Daily With A Bearish Close
RES 4: $1.3598 High Oct 14
RES 3: $1.3545/54 High Nov 6, Former 38.2% of $1.3105-1.3832
RES 2: $1.3524 Hourly high & High Nov 4
RES 1: $1.3450 NY Hourly high Nov 7
LATEST PRICE: $1.3358 @0600GMT
SUP 1: $1.3294/95 50.0% of 1.2760-1.3829, Low Nov 7
SUP 2: $1.3232 Low Sept 10
SUP 3: $1.3216 200 day moving average
SUP 4: $1.3168 61.8% of 1.2760-1.3829
COMMENTARY: The move lower Thursday was followed up by an inside day and a
relatively bearish close to end last week. The $1.3450 level confirmed its
significance on Friday with the pair remaining capped at this level. A close
above remains needed to ease the immediate bullish focus with pressure expected
to remain on the $1.3294-95 region and a close below seeing focus ratchet lower
to the $1.3106 Sept monthly low. Oversold daily tech studies should be noted.
EURO-DOLLAR: MNI Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.3529 Thursday Nov7 high
$1.3478 T-line sppt from Jul low $1.2755, now resistance/Stops
$1.3450 Recovery high off $1.3295 Thu/Strong offers/Stops
$1.3438 Friday Nov8 high (seen pre NFP)
$1.3400/10 Medium offers
$1.3380 Medium offers
$1.3369 Int.Day high Europe, Asia $1.3367
$1.3365 ***Current mkt rate 0703GMT Monday
$1.3348 Tech 100-dma (closed above Thursday+Friday)
$1.3345 Int.Day low Asia
$1.3320-00 Medium demand/$1.3318 Friday Nov8 low (post NFP)
$1.3295-94 Thu Nov7 low-50% $1.2755-1.3833
$1.3290 Stops
$1.3277 76.4% $1.3105-1.3833
$1.3217 Tech 200-dma
11-Nov-2013 7:10
CABLE TECHS: $1.6118 Continues To Thwart Attempts To Rally
RES 4: $1.6206 Channel base Jul 3
RES 3: $1.6163 High Sept 18
RES 2: $1.6118 High Nov 6
RES 1: $1.6060 Hourly breakdown level Nov 8
LATEST PRICE: $1.6012 @0600GMT
SUP 1: $1.5943/57 38.2% of $1.5429-1.6260, 55-DMA
SUP 2: $1.5904/19 Low Nov 4, 23.6% of $1.4814-1.626
SUP 3: $1.5778 Low Sept 13
SUP 4: $1.5672 100 day moving average
COMMENTARY: The key $1.6118 level capped attempts higher before the pair headed
lower once more, pausing at the 55-DMA. A close above the $1.6118 level remains
needed to see focus return to retests of the key $1.6260 level. The move lower
has eased the previous bullish pressure and seen immediate focus shift to
retests of the $1.5885-1.5905 support region but oversold correcting daily tech
studies should be noted and may limit bearish follow through.
CABLE: MNI Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals),
$1.6160/65 Medium offers/$1.6165 Stops
$1.6140/50 Medium offers
$1.6115/25 Strong offers/$1.6124 61.8% $1.6260-1.5904
$1.6100/05 Strong offers/$1.6105 Fri Nov8 high
$1.6070 Tech 76.4% $1.6105-1.5957
$1.6050 Medium offers on approach/$1.6048 61.8% $1.6105-1.5957
$1.6031 NY recovery high off post NFP $1.5957/50% $1.6105-1.5957
$1.6021 Int.Day high Asia
$1.6003 ***Current market rate 0731GMT Monday
$1.6000 Int.Day low Asia
$1.5957 Fri Nov8 low, NFP react
$1.5950 Medium demand/$1.5949 Tue Nov5 low
$1.5904 Monday Nov4 low
$1.5900 Strong demand on approach
$1.5894 Wednesday Oct16 low/$1.5890 Stops
11-Nov-2013 7:28
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Close Below 200-DMA Remains Key To Downside
RES 4: Y100.59 Highs Sept 11
RES 3: Y99.65 High Sept 20
RES 2: Y99.41 Highs Nov 7
RES 1: Y99.30 Daily Bollinger band top
LATEST PRICE: Y99.00 @0600GMT
SUP 1: Y98.61/77 100-DMA, Hourly breakout level Nov 8
SUP 2: Y97.70/78 Low Nov 7, 200-DMA
SUP 3: Y97.37 Rising daily trend line
SUP 4: Y96.96 Low Oct 25
COMMENTARY: Following last week's dip back to the 200-DMA dollar-yen bounce to
end the week just below last week's highs. A close above the Sept 20 high is
needed to confirm a clean break of the falling daily trend line off the May 22
highs and see focus turn to layers of resistance in the Y100.59-86 region. We
will continue to look for a close below the Nov 7 Low to confirm a clean break
of the 200-DMA with a subsequent shift lower in focus.
11-Nov-2013 7:40
EURO-YEN TECHS: 55-DMA Capping Bounces
RES 4: Y135.49 High Oct 22
RES 3: Y133.71/80 21-DMA, May 22 reversal high
RES 2: Y133.36 Daily Tenkan line
RES 1: Y132.73 55 day moving average
LATEST PRICE: Y132.25 @0600GMT
SUP 1: Y131.16 Monthly Low Oct 8
SUP 2: Y129.97 Low Sept 6
SUP 3: Y129.38.Low Aug 30
SUP 4: Y129.23 200 day moving average
COMMENTARY: Friday's bounce remained capped ahead of the 55-DMA but we will
continue to look for a close above the 21-DMA to relieve the current focus from
further tests and a break of the Y131.16 level, and back to tests of the Y135.49
Oct monthly high. A close below the Y131.16 level would see focus ratchet lower
to the Y129.23-38 region with the 200-DMA noted at Y129.23. The pair has not
closed below the 200-DMA since Nov 2012.
w nocy nawejscie UK edziu moze pod 13400 da rade
