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04-Aug-2014 11:06
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: $1.3443 The Next Barrier To A Recovery
*RES 4: $1.3527 3 month falling resistance line
*RES 3: $1.3507/13 Jun 5, Jun 12 lows, now resistance
*RES 2: $1.3484 Jul 24 high
*RES 1: $1.3443 Jul 24 low, July 28,29 & Aug 1 highs
*PRICE: $1.3427 @0903GMT
*SUP 1: $1.3385/95 Hourly support
*SUP 2: $1.3369 Jul 30 low
*SUP 3: $1.3303 Nov 7 low
*SUP 4: $1.3296 1% volatility band
*COMMENTARY* The move above $1.3405-$1.3415 on Friday, opens up the chance for a
corrective bounce. Now need the comfort of a break through $1.3443, a level of
both previous highs & lows, to generate further upside interest and the
potential for a run at $1.3507-$1.3527. Support has moved up to $1.3385-$1.3395
ahead of last weeks $1.3369 low. Below here and the Nov 7 low at $1.3303 remains
the next support of note.
04-Aug-2014 11:07
CABLE TECHS: Finding Support From Above $1.6812 Fibo Level
*RES 4: $1.6926 Jul 30, Jul 31 highs
*RES 3: $1.6893/94 Bounce high Jul 31, 2 wk res line
*RES 2: $1.6875 Hourly resistance
*RES 1: $1.6856/59 Aug 1 high, Jul 31 low
*PRICE: $1.6828 @0904GMT
*SUP 1: $1.6812 76.4% Fibo of $1.6696-$1.7186
*SUP 2: $1.6786 Corrective proj,n tgt from $1.7186
*SUP 3: $1.6776 1% volatility band
*SUP 4: $1.6741 Jun 11 low
*COMMENTARY: Friday saw a fall to $1.6817, slightly above the 76.4% Fibo retrace
level at $1.6812. While held above here, there is scope for some correction of
recent losses. Initial resistance seen from $1.6856-59 and then $1.6875. Main
resistance looks likely to come from $1.6893-94. A corrective high from last
Thursday, as well as the current level of the 2 week falling resistance line.
Loss of $1.6712 sees $1.6776-86 next, then $1.6741, the Jun 11 low.
04-Aug-2014 11:08
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Y103.00-Y103.06 Proving A Tough Resistance Area
*RES 4: Y103.84 1.618 swing of Y102.79-101.09 fall
*RES 3: Y103.33 76.4% Fibo of Y104.10-Y100.85
*RES 2: Y103.00/06 May 2 high, 10 week channel proj'n
*RES 1: Y102.75/85 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: Y102.60 @0905GMT
*SUP 1: Y102.39 Aug 1 low
*SUP 2: Y102.26 Jul 3 high, now support
*SUP 3: Y102.05 July 30 low
*SUP 4: Y101.79 July 16 high, now support
*COMMENTARY: Strong resistance from the Y103.00-Y103.06 area has put a lid on
things for the time being. Fridays fall having tested into the pivotal
Y102.35-Y102.40 support area. The former, the top of the previously broken 2014
resistance line, by time today. Further loss here will disappoint and put
pressure on the next region of support between Y102.26-Y102.05. Initial
resistance has moved slightly lower to Y102.75-85.
04-Aug-2014 11:09
EURO-YEN TECHS: A Loss Of Momentum As Rally Fails Around Y137.94
*RES 4: Y138.60 76.4% Fibo of Y139.27-Y136.38
*RES 3: Y138.45/52 Jul 14 high, 1% volatility band
*RES 2: Y138.17 61.8% Fibo of Y139.27-Y136.38
*RES 1: Y137.94/97 Jun 26 low, Aug 1 high
*PRICE: Y137.76 @0906GMT
*SUP 1: Y137.45/55 Hourly support
*SUP 2: Y137.24 July 25 high, now support
*SUP 3: Y137.09 July 29 high, now support
*SUP 4: Y136.78 Jul 30 low
*COMMENTARY: The recovery seems to be losing a little momentum, following the
failure to push on through Y137.94 resistance last Friday. Some overbought
conditions now evident on hourly charts and this may open the way for a deeper
correction of gains seen since the Y136.38 low in late July. Loss of Y137.45-55
support would be the first indication now. Directly above Y137.94-97 would alter
the situation, Y138.17 the next Fibo retrace to note above.
04-Aug-2014 11:10
EURO-STERLING TECHS: Support Seen From Between Stg0.7950-60 Today
*RES 4: Stg0.8067 Jun 5 low, now resistance
*RES 3: Stg0.8034 Jun 25 high
*RES 2: Stg0.7999 1% volatility band
*RES 1: Stg0.7982/86 Jul 14,15 & Aug 1 highs
*PRICE: Stg0.7980 @0907GMT
*SUP 1: Stg0.7950/60 Hourly support
*SUP 2: Stg0.7938 Jul 24 high, now support
*SUP 3: Stg0.7925 Aug 1 low
*SUP 4: Stg0.7905/06 Jul 28 & Jul 25 lows
*COMMENTARY: Pausing for breath after a challenge to the Stg0.7982-Stg0.7986
region on Friday. While initial support from above Stg0.7950-60 holds, then a
fresh assault can be seen, although whether we have the strength to move above
Stg0.8000 is debatable at this stage. Loss of Stg0.7950-60 would disappoint, as
this would take us back below the broken 5 month falling resistance line.
Support then from above Stg0.7938-Stg0.7925.
04-Aug-2014 11:11
GOLD TECHS: Pullback Holds Above Fibo Support at $1280.6
*RES 4: $1311.8 Jul 29 high
*RES 3: $1304.6 Hourly pivot
*RES 2: $1301.9 Jul 30 high, 4 week falling res line
*RES 1: $1297.1 Jul 31 high
*PRICE: $1294.4 @0910GMT
*SUP 1: $1284.9 Hourly support
*SUP 2: $1280.6 61.8% Fibo of $1241.3-$1344.3
*SUP 3: $1274.6 1.618 swing of $1288.8-$1311.8 rise
*SUP 4: $1273.2 1.618 swing of $1292.$7-$1324.3 rise
*COMMENTARY: Found support from $1281.4 on Friday, just ahead of the stronger
Fibo retrace level at $1280.6. The subsequent recovery has resistance from
$1297.1 to cross, before thoughts can turn to the 4 week falling resistance
line, at $1301.9 by time today. Through here and then the pivotal $1304.6 level,
is needed to generate fresh upside interest and suggest that the corrective
pullback is over for the time being.