DayTrading: Piątek 23.11.2012

[greg811]

z tej harmonicznej wynikałoby ,że już zadnej korekty nie będzie bo bylibyśmy po D która była 1,2740 i teraz tylko góra?

nie prawda nie dotarliśmy do punktu D formacji 5.0 który znajduje się na ~1.2606
i pogląd na usdchf

[marker74]

eurusd m15

[Nowy123]

08:00 EUR Niemiecki PKB (raz w roku) 0.4% 0.4%
08:00 EUR Niemiecki PKB (raz na kwartał) 0.2% 0.2%

-- Dodano: pt 23-11-2012, 9:03 --

10 00 wazne dane wiec bujanie sie do 10 a wczorjasz wyciagniecie edka bez volumenu i gield to mistrzostwo

-- Dodano: pt 23-11-2012, 9:19 --

Ruters juz plote puszcza o Grecji i redukcji dlugu hahah

-- Dodano: pt 23-11-2012, 9:26 --



zobaczymy czy pejsiki zaczna realizowac zyski dzis na edku

-- Dodano: pt 23-11-2012, 9:47 --

S&P Affirms Ratings On France At 'aa+/a-1+'; Outlook Negative

[expedient warzywniaka]

kolejny dzien zmiennosci typu k****

[niemiaszek]

Hello


EUROPE: Another low volume day is seen Friday, with Japanese markets
closed and the US only open for a half-day session as it bridges the
Thanksgiving Holiday into the weekend. However, although US financial
markets are only operating on skeleton staff, shopping malls across the
US will be packed as the "Black Friday" crowds will offer some early
guide to the health of the US consumer this holiday season. Continental
data gets underway at 0700GMT, with the release of Germany's detailed
third quarter GDP numbers. Also expected at 0700GMT, are German Sept
construction orders. French data is expected at 0745GMT, with the
release of the French business climate indicator, including both
manufacturing and service sector sentiment indices. Spanish October PPI
numbers are expected at 0800GMT. Possibly the headline release of the
day is the German November IfO business survey data. Italian September
retail sales numbers will also cross the wires at 0900GMT.

GREECE: Greece and the Troika are "edging" towards agreement on a
formula that would make Greek debt sustainable, eKathimerini says.
Sources tell the website that "only" around E8 to 10 bn stands in the
way of a deal.


INDUSTRY NEWS: Barclays are to quit their seats on the LME, the FT
reports, although the bank says it remains committed to base metals
markets.


US PRESS: The frontrunner to become Japan's next prime minister said if
elected, he would consider loosening some of Japan's fiscal discipline
policies, defying warnings by credit raters to curb borrowing by the
world's most indebted government, and suggested more spending, The Wall
Streeet Journal reports. "First, we will concentrate our policy tools to
curb deflation," Shinzo Abe said in an interview. "But that can't be
done solely by monetary policy," alluding to his prominent campaign to
push the Bank of Japan to take more aggressive measures. "Fiscal policy
needs to be added." Abe said that if his prty won in Dec. 16 elections,
he would promote a mammoth Y200 trillion public-works package, and he
wouldn't feel bound by pledges made by the current ruling party to avoid
increasing the issuance of new debt.



EURO-DOLLAR: Closed Thursday's session at $1.2882 after correcting back
from a pullback low of $1.2858, seen after rate was rejected from the
$1.2899 level earlier in the day. Rate squeezed lower into early Asia to
$1.28685 before recovering, the move up aided by a corrective bounce in
euro-yen which took rate up to $1.2890. Offers said to remain in place
into $1.2900, with Asian sovereign sales ahead of this level Thursday
capping the day at $1.2899. A break above the figure expected to expose
stops but further sell interest is said to be stacked above into
$1.2905, strengthening toward $1.2920. Markets through Asia have been
generally quiet, a knock on from Thursday's US holiday, with markets
there only opening for a half session today, as well as a Japanese
holiday. Early thin conditions into Europe see that $1.2900 level under
threat at writing. German GDP (3Q final) 0700GMT provides early interest
ahead of German Ifo data at 0900GMT with several minor Eurozone releases
dotted through the morning. A quiet US session, working a short session
with a skeleton staff, should make for another quiet afternoon.

EURO-DOLLAR: Breaks above $1.2900, taking out reported barrier interest
here, and brushing aside reported semi official sales that had been
reported ahead. Rate quickly moves up to $1.2908 before profit take
sales provide a counter, following the pressured move. However, rate
retains an underlying bid tone with pullback so far holding shallow.
Some traders look to the 55-dma at $1.2911 to provide next resistance,
with further offers noted between $1.2920/25.

MNI EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.2980/85 Medium offers
$1.2940/50 Medium offers
$1.2920/25 Strong offers/Stops mixed in above $1.2920
$1.2911 Tech 55-dma
$1.2908 Int.Day high Europe, Asia $1.2896 (Thus high $1.2899)
$1.2900 ***Current mkt rate 0741GMT Friday
$1.28685 Int.Day low Asia
$1.2870/60 Medium demand
$1.2850 Strong demand/European names linked to main bids
$1.2837-34 Area pullback lows Europe-Asia
$1.2826 Thus Nov22 low
$1.2810/00 Medium demand
$1.2785/80 Medium demand
$1.2765/60 Medium demand
$1.2740/30 Medium demand/$1.2736 Wednesday low/Stops


CABLE: Closed Thursday at $1.5943 after recovering off a pullback low of
$1.5919, seen after the yen corrected earlier losses ahead of the
today's Japan holiday and the weekend. Cable squeezed to an early low in
Asia of $1.5936 before it recovered, the move up seen in line with
euro-dollar, which in turn again took direction in Asia from euro-yen
action. Cable traded to an initial high of $1.5951, dipped to $1.5945
before picking up stronger demand that lifted it on to $1.5955 ahead of
the European open. Euro-sterling, which had been driven to highs of
stg0.8086 Thursday, consolidated the move through Asia within a range of
stg0.80755/0.80825. Little on the domestic calendar in the UK with moves
expected to come from euro-dollar moves, though with the US working a
half session today expect another subdued trading session into the
afternoon. Cable offers seen placed between $1.5955/65 (61.8%/76.4%
$1.5978-19), a break to open a move back toward $1.5980. Bids noted now
from $1.5920 through to $1.5900.


YEN: Dollar-yen closed Thursday's session at Y82.43, after recovering
off a pullback low of Y82.26 seen after rate was rejected from earlier
highs at Y82.84. Rate managed to edge up to Y82.51 into a Japan holiday
thinned Friday session before a US name leaned into the recovery and
pressed rate down to Y82.25. Recovery to Y82.43 proved short lived as
fresh sales emerged (leveraged accounts trimming long positions into the
weekend) that took rate to session lows of Y82.18 where it
met stronger demand interest. Rate recovered to Y82.37 into the European
open and was holding firm at writing. CTA bids seen in place from below
Y82.20, with fund interest noted into Y82.05/00. A US name has noted
interest to buy into dips if seen under Y82.00, adding that they see
little in the way of downside stops now, though some system stops are
noted on break of Y81.99. Strong offers remain in place ahead of the
reported barrier at Y83.00, the sell interest beginning from around
Y82.85 through to the figure. Euro-yen saw lows of Y105.88 in Asia
before recovering into Europe to Y106.22, shy of early highs at Y106.27.


FX: Option expiries for today's 1000EST cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2750, $1.2975, $1.3000
* Dollar-yen; Y81.40, Y81.50, Y82.50
* Aussie; $1.0300, $1.0400



EUROZONE ISSUANCE: There is no eurozone sovereign bond issuance
planned Friday, which has been completed for this week and totals
E8.8bln vs E20.94bln last week. As a recap, Germany re-opened its
10-year benchmark 1.50% Sep 2022 Bund on Wednesday for E4.0bln and also
6-year linker 0.75% Apr 2018 Boblei. Spain allotted a total E3.88bln
across its benchmark 3-year 3.75% Oct 2015 Bono, 5-year 5.50% July 2017
Obligaciones and the off-the-run 5.50% April 2021 Obligaciones bonds --
exceeding the upper end of the E2.5bln-E3.5bln target range set by the
Tesoro Publico. In addition, Spain also confirmed it conducted a private
placement of a new 4.75% Sep 2017 Bono issue for E3.281bln -- but not
clear if this is part of the 2013 pre-funding. In terms of reinvestment
flows, there are no redemption payments with only minor coupon payment
due from Austria E0.2bln - leaves net cash flow negative to the tune of
E8.6bln vs -E20.5bln last week. For full details of forthcoming issues,
please see Eurozone bond auction calendar & MNI Eurozone Net Cash Flow
Matrix.

EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Nov 22/23 EU leaders Summit discuss the EU budget
- Nov 23 Portugal YTD budget report
- Nov 23 German Nov IFO business survey
- Nov 23 ECB Draghi gives keynote speech at European Banking Congress
- Nov 23 Spain T-bill redemption for E5.39bln
- Nov 23 German FinMin Schaeuble keynote at 15th Euro Finance Week
- Nov 25 Elections in Catalonia
- Nov 26 Eurogroup meeting on Greece
- Nov 27 OECD publishes Economic Outlook
- Nov 27 Portugal parliament votes on 2013 Budget
- Nov 27 Spain 3-/6-month T-bill auction
- Nov 27 Italy CTZ/linker bond auctions
- Nov 28 Italy BOT auction
- Nov 29 Italy month-end BTP bond auctions
- Nov 30 Italy Q3 unemployment rate

[Nowy123]

dobry kierunek cel znany

[Timurr]

dobry kierunek cel znany

Dla mniej wtajemniczonych możesz pogłębić swoja myśl ?

[pr7emo]

gbpjpy dość szybko spada
wsiadłem do pociągu na ejku

[Nowy123]

dobry kierunek cel znany

Dla mniej wtajemniczonych możesz pogłębić swoja myśl ?

korekcimy ta 5 tka na 4 h ale ale 10 dane IFO wiec roznie moze byc

[pr7emo]

po złotówce widać że cos się święci
może głebszy spadek kilkudniowy