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09-May-2014 11:12
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Bearish Outside Day But Becoming Oversold Near Term
*RES 4: $1.3989 May 8 high
*RES 3: $1.3950/55 May 7 high, initial high May 8
*RES 2: $1.3906 Initial low May 8, now resistance
*RES 1: $1.3880/90 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: $1.3816 @0909GMT
*SUP 1: $1.3813 May 2 low
*SUP 2: $1.3785 Apr 22, Apr 30 lows low
*SUP 3: $1.3750 Prior basing area, Mid-March
*SUP 4: $1.3728 1% volatility band
*COMMENTARY: Big bearish outside day on Thursday, a new high followed by a close
below the two previous days lows. Toying with a break below the pivotal
$1.3827-$1.3835 area this morning but for the time being looking unlikely to
lose support from $1.3813 and especially $1.3785. Oversold intraday studies can
come to the rescue and steer a $1.3880-90 bounce, perhaps $1.3906-$1.3950.
Should $1.3785 give way, then look to $1.3750-$1.3728 next.
09-May-2014 11:13
CABLE TECHS: Looking To Support From Between $1.6899-$1.6885
*RES 4: $1.7050 5 week median line
*RES 3: $1.7041 Aug 2009 high
*RES 2: $1.6996 May 6 high
*RES 1: $1.6965/75 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: $1.6906 @0911GMT
*SUP 1: $1.6899 5 week rising support line
*SUP 2: $1.6885 Initial recovery high May 5
*SUP 3: $1.6855/57 Apr 28 high, May 5 low
*SUP 4: $1.6830 May 2 low
*COMMENTARY: Loss of $1.6940-45 support on Thursday, a near term concern and
testing into support from between $1.6912 and the 5 week rising support line, at
$1.6899 today. In fact would need to see support from $1.6885 give way before
the clamour for another bounce quietens. Initial resistance now located at
$1.6965-75, ahead of the $1.6996 high. Through here and there is potential for a
further run up to $1.7041-$1.7050.
09-May-2014 11:15
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Y101.21-Y101.35 Still Likely To Come Under Pressure
*RES 4: Y102.77 Apr 29 high
*RES 3: Y102.43 Underside broken 4 week support line
*RES 2: Y102.20 Hourly pivot
*RES 1: Y101.98 May 7 high
*PRICE: Y101.77 @0912GMT
*SUP 1: Y101.35 Apr 10 & Apr 11 lows
*SUP 2: Y101.21/22 Mar 3 & Mar 14 lows
*SUP 3: Y100.79 Feb 4 low
*SUP 4: Y100.33 1.618 swing of Y101.35-Y103.00
*COMMENTARY: Sideways trading continues and while below Y101.98-Y102.20, the
downside is still looking to test the next band of support from Y101.35-Y101.21.
This still looks vulnerable and a break is likely to see an eventual move
towards Y100.33-Y100.25. There may be some support from the year's previous low
at Y100.79 along the way. Above Y101.95-Y102.20 and recovery can extend towards
Y102.43 next.
09-May-2014 11:18
EURO-YEN TECHS: Good Support Seen Between Y140.44-Y140.00
*RES 4: Y142.00 Hourly pivot
*RES 3: Y141.70 Underside broken 6 month S/line
*RES 2: Y141.51 May 8 low
*RES 1: Y141.16 Apr 30 & May 7 lows, now resistance
*PRICE: Y140.57 @0914GMT
*SUP 1: Y140.44 1.618 swing of Y141.16-Y142.33
*SUP 2: Y140.25 Apr 15 low
*SUP 3: Y140.00/10 Mar 28 & Apr 8 lows
*SUP 4: Y139.47 2 month channel base projection
*COMMENTARY: Thursday's bounce from Y141.16 support met with resistance again
from Y142.33. Subsequent decline has been swift, losing Y141.16 along the way.
Now looking to the Y140.44-Y140.25 region for next region of support, ahead of
recent key lows at Y140.00-Y140.10. Likelihood of a bounce from this area but
Y141.16 now becomes the initial resistance to watch and preventing a further
Y141.51-Y141.70 recovery.
09-May-2014 11:19
EURO-STERLING TECHS: Stg0.8162-Stg0.8142 The Next Downside Target Area
*RES 4: Stg0.8247 May 8 high
*RES 3: Stg0.8233/34 Apr 30 & May 5 highs
*RES 2: Stg0.8213 May 7 high
*RES 1: Stg0.8192/98 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: Stg0.8172 @0915GMT
*SUP 1: Stg0.8162 Feb 28 low
*SUP 2: Stg0.8159 Feb 17 low
*SUP 3: Stg0.8142 Equality fall target from Stg0.8310
*SUP 4: Stg0.8126 1% volatility band
*COMMENTARY: After a bounce to Stg0.8247 on Thursday, we finally got our break
below the base of the key Stg0.8192-Stg0.8198 support zone. Now probing the
potential for a deeper Stg0.8159-Stg0.8162 fall next. Beneath here and Stg0.8142
the equality fall from Stg0.8310 to previous Stg0.8400-Stg0.8232 decline,
becomes the next objective. Resistance from Stg0.8192-98 now, currently prevents
a higher Stg0.8213-Stg0.8233 recovery.
09-May-2014 11:22
GOLD TECHS: $1286.3-$1280.0 The Next Supports To Watch
*RES 4: $1316.1 76.4% Fibo of $1330.6-$1269.1
*RES 3: $1308.7 Hourly lows May 5 & May 6
*RES 2: $1305.0 May 6 low, now resistance
*RES 1: $1297.4 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: $1288.3 @0918GMT
*SUP 1: $1286.3 May 8 low
*SUP 2: $1280.0 76.4% Fibo of $1269.1-$1316.0
*SUP 3: $1277.6 May 2 low
*SUP 4: $1269.1 Apr 24 low
*COMMENTARY: No Change as sideways trading continues, following Wednesday's
swift decline from below key $1316.1 ressistance. Have found support above
$1286.3 so far and this currently protects against a greater fall to the 76.4%
retracement level at $1280.0, of the prior $1269.1-$1316.0 rise. Back below here
would swing bias back lower again and focus on $1277.6-$1269.1. In the meantime,
need a trade back above $1297.4 now, to provide some relief.
