DayTrading: Czwartek 22.11.2012

[Nowy123]

Chyba po S-kach

kiwi oRGR rysuje

poczekaj na posiedzienie banku centralnego maja obnizyc stopy wiec uwazac na to ORGR

-- Dodano: czw 22-11-2012, 9:19 --

CHiny drukuja teraz nowe wladze w Japoni zaczna na potege drukowac USa drukuje zyc nie umierac drukarskie czasy

[jurekszczurek]

Koledzy jak ścieżka na północ ja tu na 2775 km na południe może zwrócicie ?

[niemiaszek]

Hello


EUROPE: Thursday's calendar has a strong European and UK bias, as US
markets are closed to celebrate Thanksgiving. US cash markets are
closed, reopening Friday for a half-day session. Early continental data
focuses on the release of flash manufacturing and services PMI data for
November. The main numbers see French PMI data released at 0758GMT,
followed by German data at 0828GMT and overall EMU numbers at 0858GMT.
Analyst surveys show a narrow mix of forecasts, with German PMI numbers
seen modestly below October, France modestly higher and aggregate
eurozone unchanged. At 1815GMT, European Union leaders are set to
discuss the EU's long term budget and the appointment of a member to the
European Central Bank's executive board, in Brussels. As always, a long
and tortuous negotiation is expected, with the UK and others calling for
restraint in future EU spending plans as national governments pull back
on spending.



UK: In the UK, bank of England officials, including Governor Mervyn King
and Deputy Governor Paul Tucker, are to appear before the Parliamentary
Commission on Banking Standards. Chancellor George Osborne appeared
Wednesday, arguing for the Vickers reforms to be implemented. UK data is
expected at 1100GMT, with the release of the CBI Monthly Industrial
Trends survey for November. The survey median sees total orders at -20
against -23 in October, with Trends selling prices unchanged at +7.

UK PRESS: UK Deputy PM Nick Clegg will outline plans Thursday that
could see up to 50,000 new home starts in the UK as the government moves
to unblock stalled projects, the Guardian reports.

UK PRESS: UK GROCER Sainsbury's say they will "create 10,000 jobs"
across the UK in a store expansion programme over the next 3 years, the
Independent says.

UK PRESS: The FT says bookmakers see Paul Tucker as the clear favourite
to get the position of next BOE Governor, with Lord Burns and Sir John
Vickers seen now as outsiders. The paper says the decision may be
announced at the Dec 5 Autumn Statement, but the Treasury will only
commit to an announcement by year-end. Who ever gets the nod will assume
the mantle from July 1 2013.



EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY at $1.2828, holding firm into the close
(ahead of today's Thanksgiving holiday) after recovering off intraday
lows (Asia, Europe $1.2755) at $1.2736. Strong demand for euro-yen into
early Asian trade provided the early lift into the session which took
euro-dollar to extended highs of $1.28685, helped by the triggering of
stops through $1.2835 and $1.2850, with risk getting a boost on release
of stronger than forecast HSBC China mfg PMI, making a show back above
50.0. Macro accounts were noted profit take sellers above $1.2860, with
the initial pullback meeting demand in the area between $1.2850/40. A
brief squeeze to $1.2834 encountered fresh demand with rate recovering
to $1.2850 ahead of the European open. Offers now reported between
$1.2875/95, with more placed into $1.2900 linked to option barrier
protection here. US Thanksgiving holiday expected to act to subdue trade
through the day, especially into the afternoon as liquidity should dry
up. Eurozone flash PMI's from the major economies this morning's
interest from 0758GMT to 0858GMT. Support $1.2835/25.

EURO-DOLLAR: Holding steady just above $1.2850 into early Europe, off
overnight highs at $1.28685. Traders note that the BOK were sizeable
dollar intervention buyers overnight (one estimate E1bln) and could be
active recycling into euro-dollar dips during the day. Had from a few
traders that offers are seen from $1.2875 through to barrier interest at
$1.2900, but one clearer notes stops in place through $1.2875 to $1.2900
with offers then appearing above the figure.

MNI EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.2980/85 Medium offers
$1.2940/50 Medium offers
$1.2920/25 Medium offers
$1.2895/900 Strong offers/$1.2900 option barrier
$1.2875/95 Medium offers/$1.2876 Jul11 high
$1.28685 Int.Day high Asia
$1.2852 ***Current mkt rate 0740GMT Wednesday
$1.2826 Int.Day low Asia
$1.2810/00 Medium demand
$1.2785/80 Medium demand/$1.2786 61.8% $1.2736-1.2868
$1.2765/60 Medium demand
$1.2740/30 Medium demand/$1.2736 Wednesday low/Stops


CABLE: Closed in NY at $1.5953, just off NY recovery highs of $1.5956
after rate had corrected off earlier intraday lows at $1.5883. The early
strong demand for euro-yen, with yen under general pressure into Asia,
saw cable track euro-dollar's move higher, the rate edging to an
early high at $1.5970 before momentum faded. Rate drifted off to
$1.5956 before meeting demand, with a late recovery to $1.5962 seen
ahead of the European open. Sterling again struggled to keep pace with
euro-dollar's stronger recovery, thus allowed euro-sterling to rally
from stg0.8038 to stg0.80585 before it settled back between
stg0.8040/50. US Thanksgiving holiday expected to subdue markets through
to the weekend with direction today to be dictated buy euro-dollar
action. Eurozone flash PMI's due for release from 0758GMT the early
interest, with main domestic interest focusing on the appearance of BOE
Gov King in front of the Parliament Bank Panel (0930GMT) ahead of CBI
trends data at 1100GMT. Cable offers seen placed between $1.5970/80
ahead of $1.6000/10. Support $1.5955/50.


OIL: Crude futures are trading higher but are seen tied to narrow
ranges, as the truce in the Israel/Hamas dispute holds. Volumes are also
light, with US players absent for the Thanksgiving Day holiday. The
front-month WTI contract was last 25 cents higher at $87.63, having
traded a range of $87.56 to $87.77.


FX: Option expiries for today's 1000EST cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2700, $1.2765, $1.2840, $1.2925, $1.2980
* Dollar-yen; Y82.00, Y82.25, Y82.30
* Cable; $1.5985, $1.6000
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8000
* Aussie; $1.0335, $1.0400


EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Eurozone sovereign T-bill issuance has been
completed for this week, with E18.3bln allocated by Netherlands, France,
Spain, EFSF, and Portugal compared to E23.8bln allotted last week. To
recap, on Monday Netherlands allotted E1.32bln 3-month DTC at average
yield -0.029% and E1.09bln 6-month DTC at average yield -0.02%. In the
afternoon, France sold E3.997 3-month BTF at average yield -0.016%,
E1.391bln 6-month BTF at average yield -0.009% and E1.595bln 12-month
BTF at average yield 0.026%. On Tuesday Spain sold E4.225bln 12-month
Letra at average yield 2.797% and E713mln 18-month Letra at average
yield 3.022%. EFSF sold E1.966bln new 6-month bills at average yield
-0.0053%. On Wednesday Portugal sold E300mln 3-month T-bill at average
yield 1.936%, E500mln 6-month T-bill at average yield 2.169% and E1.2bln
18-month T-bill at average yield 2.99%. In terms of T-bill issuance
planned for next week we have Germany, France, Spain, and Italy and
could total E20bln.

EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Spain comes to the bond market Thursday and
begins its pre-funding for 2013 as the Tesoro Publico has already
completed its E86bln gross funding target for 2012. The Tesoro plans to
tap its 3-year benchmark 3.75% Oct 2015 Bono, 5.50% July 2017
Obligaciones along with 5.50% 2021 Obligaciones bonds for an expected
size of up to E3.5bln indicative size. So far, Germany re-openned its
10-year benchmark 1.50% Sep 2022 Bund on Wednesday for up to E4.0bln and
also its 0.75% Apr 2018 Boblei for up to E1.0bln. In terms of
reinvestment flows, there are no redemption payments with only minor
coupon payment due from Austria E0.2bln - leaves net cash flow negative
to the tune of E8.3bln vs -E20.5bln last week. For full details of
forthcoming issues, please see Eurozone bond auction calendar & MNI
Eurozone Net Cash Flow Matrix.

SPAIN AUCTION PREVIEW: Spain's Tesoro Publico taps its benchmark
3-year 3.75% Oct 2015 Bono, 5-year 5.50% July 2017 Obligaciones along
with off-the-run 5.50% 2021 Obligaciones bonds Thursday for between
E2.5bln to E3.5bln indicative size. The auction marks the start of
Spain's pre-funding for 2013 as the Tesoro has already completed its
E86bln gross funding target for 2012. Given Spain has 3 bond auctions
remaining until end of this year and tendendency to sell more than the
indicative size -- the risk is on a lower gross funding target for 2013.
Ahead of the auction, mkt sources reported decent buying of Spanish
bonds, amid short-covering from real money and fast money accounts and
switching out of Italian bonds, which bodes well. For comparison
purposes, the 3.75% 2015 Bono was last sold on Nov 8 for E990mln at an
avg yield of 3.66%, cover 2.83 times. The 5.50% 2017 Obligaciones was
last sold on Oct 4 for E710mln at avg yield of 4.77% and cover 2.47
times. The 5.50% 2021 Obligaciones was last sold in Dec 2011 and
therefore not comparable. Auction results are due around 0940GMT.


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Nov 22/23 EU leaders Summit discuss the EU budget
- Nov 22 Spain sells 2015-/2017-/2021 bonds for up to E3.5bln
- Nov 22 ECB regular monthly 'non-policy' meeting
- Nov 22 EMU Nov flash manufacturing/services PMI
- Nov 23 Portugal YTD budget report
- Nov 23 German Nov IFO business survey
- Nov 23 ECB Draghi gives keynote speech at European Banking Congress
- Nov 23 Spain T-bill redemption for E5.39bln
- Nov 23 German FinMin Schaeuble keynote at 15th Euro Finance Week
- Nov 25 Elections in Catalonia
- Nov 26 Eurogroup meeting on Greece
- Nov 27 OECD publishes Economic Outlook
- Nov 27 Portugal parliament votes on 2013 Budget
- Nov 27 Spain 3-/6-month T-bill auction
- Nov 27 Italy CTZ/linker bond auctions

[movinghead]

cena nie bardzo ma siłe na wzrosty

[ForexTig3r]

S na 2866 bardzo dobra opcja w proporcji ryzyka do zysku.
USDJPY S na 82.57

USA: Święto Dziękczynienia
Szczyt przywódców UE poświęcony budżetowi
08:58 Francja: Indeks PMI dla przemysłu (listopad; prog. 44; pop. 43,7)
08:58 Francja: Indeks PMI dla usług (listopad; prog. 45; pop. 44,6)
09:28 Niemcy: Indeks PMI dla przemysłu (listopad; prog. 46; pop. 46)
09:28 Niemcy: Indeks PMI dla usług (listopad; prog. 48,6; pop. 48,4)
09:58 Strefa Euro: Indeks PMI dla przemysłu (listopad; prog. 45,5; pop. 45,4)
09:58 Strefa Euro: Indeks PMI dla usług (listopad; prog. 46; pop. 46)
14:00 Polska: Protokół z posiedzenia RPP
14:30 Kanada: Sprzedaż detaliczna (wrzesień; prog. 0,5%; pop. 0,3%)

[niemiaszek]

wersja poglądowa AT


22-lis-2012 7:47
MNI EUROSTOXX50 TECHS: Approaching Key Resistance At 2550/2554
RES 4: 2611.4 Failure high Mar 16
RES 3: 2604.8 High 14 Sep
RES 2: 2550/2554 Bollinger band top, Res line fm Sep 14
RES 1: 2534/2537 High 5 Oct, 61.8% of 2604.8 to 2427.3
PREVIOUS CLOSE: 2519.68
SUP 1: 2481.9 5-day moving average
SUP 2: 2420/2427 Low 5 Sept, Low 16 Nov, Gap base from 16 Nov
SUP 3: 2385.9/2392.9 200-DMA, 38.2% of 2050.2-2604.8
SUP 4: 2363.0 Low 6 Aug
COMMENTARY: Upside momentum is beginning to wane as Eurostoxx approaches
key resistance area at 2550/2554 -- Bollinger band top and resistance
line from Sep 14. Initial resistance is at 2534/2537.



22-lis-2012 8:13
MNI EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Breaks Above 1-Month Resistance Line
RES 4: $1.2983 Daily Bollinger band top
RES 3: $1.2917 50.0% of $1.3172-$1.2662
RES 2: $1.2901/09 50.0% of $1.3140-$1.2662, 55-DMA
RES 1: $1.2876 High 7 Nov
LATEST PRICE: $1.28451
SUP 1: $1.2804/24 200-day moving average, 21-day moving average
SUP 2: $1.2730 Low 19 Nov & 61.8% of $1.2662 to $1.2837
SUP 3: $1.2703 76.4% of $1.2662 to $1.2837
SUP 4: $1.2660/62/64 100-DMA, Low 13 Nov, 21-Week moving average
COMMENTARY: Euro has broken above the 21-day moving average and also a
1-month resistance line, with break above $1.2876 seen triggering
further short-covering. Above here, focus turns to $1.2901/09, where the
former is the 50.0% of the decline from $1.3140 to $1.2662. The daily
studies are turning higher with 10-day momentum in positive territory.


22-lis-2012 8:26
MNI CABLE TECHS: Break Above 21-DMA To Trigger Further Squeeze
RES 4: $1.6107/35 Resistance line from 21 Sep, High 2 Nov
RES 3: $1.6043/62 High 7 Nov, 55-day moving average
RES 2: $1.6012 38.2% of $1.6309 to $1.5829
RES 1: $1.5978 21-day moving average
LATEST PRICE: $1.5960
SUP 1: $1.5926 5-day moving average
SUP 2: $1.5829/56 Low 15 Nov, 200-day moving average
SUP 3: $1.5806 55-week moving average
SUP 4: $1.5798/93 Bollinger base, 50.0% of Jun-Sep rally, High Jun 18
COMMENTARY: Series of higher highs on daily charts and recovery in daily
studies from oversold is encouraging. From here, a break above the
21-day moving average at $1.5978 is seen triggering further squeeze
higher to $1.6012 -- 38.2% of $1.6309 to $1.5829 move. Above here, focus
is on the 55-day moving average at $1.6062.


22-lis-2012 8:43
MNI DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Next Upside Fibonacci Level At Y82.85
RES 4: Y83.94 High 16 Mar
RES 3: Y83.30 High 2 Apr
RES 2: Y83.16 Resistance line from 6 Apr, 2011
RES 1: Y82.85/94 38.2% of Y94.99 to Y75.35, High 4 Apr
LATEST PRICE: Y82.55
SUP 1: Y81.46/49 High 15 Nov, 5-day moving average
SUP 2: Y80.68 High 2 Nov
SUP 3: Y80.27/29 21-day moving average, Kijun Line
SUP 4: Y79.79 200-day moving average
COMMENTARY: Dollar is having another attempt at upside break above
Y82.52 Fibonacci -- 76.4% of Y83.33 to Y77.13 and above here not much
resistance until Y82.94, which is the 38.2% of the decline from May 2010
to Oct 2011. Key upside target now is at Y83.16, which is value of
long-term resistance line from April 2011.


22-lis-2012 8:56
MNI EURO-YEN TECHS: Bulls Eye Resistance Line From Oct 2009 At Y106.63
RES 4: Y108.73 50.0% of Y123.33 to Y94.12
RES 3: Y108.03 High 20 Apr
RES 2: Y107.35 76.4% of Mar-July decline
RES 1: Y106.63/75 Res line from Oct 2009, Weekly Ichimoku cloud top,
LATEST PRICE: Y106.00
SUP 1: Y104.59/89 High 23 Oct, 5-day moving average
SUP 2: Y103.69 Low 20 Nov
SUP 3: Y103.29 Kijun & Tenkan line of Ichimoku cloud
SUP 4: Y102.21/24 200-day & 55-day moving average
COMMENTARY: Bulls remain in control following break above April
resistance line with next focus on Y106.63, which is the value of the
long-term resistance line from Oct 2009 and the weekly Ichimoku cloud
top. The daily studies remain bullish, albeit overbought.

[ZielonaMgielka]

EU long ponizej ostatniego dolka intraday w okolicy zrodla popytu 1.2830 moze byc dobrym zagraniem.

http://screencast.com/t/YtaBX8AAwBe

[Nowy123]

09:00 EUR Francuski Usługowy PMI 46.1 45.3
09:00 EUR Francuski PMI 44.7 44.1

-- Dodano: czw 22-11-2012, 10:12 --

12808-10

[menago]

EU long ponizej ostatniego dolka intraday w okolicy zrodla popytu 1.2830 moze byc dobrym zagraniem.

http://screencast.com/t/YtaBX8AAwBe

wszedl moj tp?wczoraj ty mi pisales ze moge sie z nim pozegnac

[ZielonaMgielka]

EU long ponizej ostatniego dolka intraday w okolicy zrodla popytu 1.2830 moze byc dobrym zagraniem.

http://screencast.com/t/YtaBX8AAwBe

wszedl moj tp?wczoraj ty mi pisales ze moge sie z nim pozegnac

Zacytuj mnie w takim razie bo sobie tego nie przypominam. Owszem, mialem wczoraj bias na shorty i sie zwyczajnie mylilem. Gratuluje bo pewnie zarobiles juz 700% konta w tym tyg