DayTrading: Czwartek 14.03.2013

[Arturm21]

Witam
Ejek jaki poziom wzrostow dzis obstawiacie? Jak narazie bujnał 100p

[molmomas]

125,65 pewnie doskoczy, a co dalej to zobaczymy.

[MowmiSasiad]

KNF ? XTB to Brytyjczycy....

Tu raczej chodzi o to gdzie są zarejestrowani niż kto jest właścicielem/udziałowcem. Tak jak TMS, który został przejęty przez luksemburski fundusz Nabbe Investments, ale ciągle nadzorowany jest przez KNF. Swoją drogą brytyjski FSA z tego co wiem jest mega upierdliwy i posiada więcej uprawnień niż KNF vide City Index.

[klimokrates]

znowu ciekawostka, na edu na m5 potencjalne rgr jako formacja kontynuacji trendu
może sie potwierdzi

rgry one są wszędziee...

No no w ogóle się zastanawiam po co grać pod inne formacje

Tak dla przypomnienia wstawiam.

[niemiaszek]

Hello



EUROPE: Early in Europe, although late in Sydney, RBA Asst Governor Kent Speaks
at 0700GMT. The speech could have significance to the market following the
unexpectedly strong Aussie jobs data. The data calendar gets underway at
0730GMT, with the release of the February Bank of France retail survey. At
0800GMT, European Central Bank Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny speaks to
the press in Vienna. Also at 0800GMT, Spain's January retail sales numbers are
released. At 0830GMT, the Swiss National Bank Monetary Policy Assessment is
expected to cross the wires. At 0900GMT, ECB Governing Council member Erkki
Liikanen gives a press conference on monetary policy and the global economy, in
Helsinki. At the same time, the ECB monthly bulletin is released, although it is
expected to mirror the opening statement from last week's post rate meeting
press conference. At 0900GMT, the Norges Bank's latest monetary policy decision
is due. At 1000GMT, the Eurozone fourth quarter of 2012 employment indicators
are due.German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble is scheduled to deliver a speech at
1300GMT in Berlin.
At 1600GMT, EU leaders begin to gather in Brussels to discuss improvements to
the single market. The meeting will not see leaders discuss any Cyprus bailout,
which is set to be discussed at a special Eurogroup meeting on Friday afternoon.

GREECE: Troika officials are set to leave Greece Thursday, with no agreements
reached with the Athens government on fresh structural reforms, the FT says.
Officials met with Greek PM Weds evening, but no conclusions were reached.

EU: Indicative programme for EU Summit Mar 14/15:
Mar 14:
1640GMT European Council first working session
1915GMT Working dinner, followed by a press conference followed by euro summit
Mar 15:
0900GMT European Council second working session, followed by a press conference
1600GMT Eurogroup


UK PRESS: The Times picks up on the latest Bank of England Quarterly bulletin,
noting it says the UK Government could eventually make a loss of stg 8 billion
on the back of QE. Later in the article, the paper notes the report also says
the government could make a profit of stg 51 bn.

UK PRESS: In the wake of the Libor scandal, US regulators are considering an
investigation in to the way the gold price is fixed in London, the Guardian
reports.

UK PRESS: UK Institute of Directors head Simon Walker says overpaid bankers and
banking practises have "given capitalism a bad name," the Independent reports.
Walker says the "reward for failure" at banks is undermining faith in free
markets.

UK PRESS: The Telegraph picks up on Wednesday's 10-yr bond sale by Ireland and
says the move helps the country towards becoming the first to exit a Troika aid
package.

UK PRESS: The FT reports that Qatar is in negotiation with the UK government to
invest up to stg 10 bn in UK infrastructure projects. The paper says potential
projects could energy plants, road and rail projects.

UK PRESS: More UK companies are turning to EU migrants to fill "low-skilled
jobs", the FT reports, citing a report by the CIPD.




US/CANADA: Across the pond, there are 1230GMT data releases in both Canada and the US. In
Canada, fourth quarter capacity utilization and the January new housing price
index will be released.
In the US, the Jobless Claims data for the March 8 week are released, along with
the Q4 current account and February producer prices.
The level of initial jobless claims is expected to rise 10,000 to 350,000 in the
March 9 week after falling 26,000 in the previous two weeks combined, resulting
in a drop in the four-week moving average to its lowest level in 5 years.
Because the 342,000 level in the February 9 week will roll off the 4-week
average calculation as this week's level moves on, the 4-week average should
rise if the median MNI forecast is realized, all else being equal.
The Producer Price Index is expected to jump 0.8% in February, while core PPI is
forecast to rise a more modest 0.2%. Energy prices, particularly gasoline
prices, are expected to rise sharply in the month, as gains later in January
were not captured by the survey for that month.
At 1430GMT, the EIA Natural Gas Storage data for the March 8 week are due.
After the European close, at 1815GMT US Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew gives a
press briefing at a Siemans plant in Alpharetta, Georgia.
Late data sees the release of the March 4 week Money Supply (M2) numbers at
2030GMT.

US PRESS: The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is looking into
whether daily gold and silver price fixings in London is open to manipulation,
the Wall Street Journal reports citing unnamed sources. The report noted that no
formal investigation is underway but that the CFTC is examining various aspects
of the price setting mechanism. Gold prices are set twice daily by five banks
via teleconference, while three banks set silver prices with these fixings then
used to determine global spot prices. The prices also help determine the value
of derivative securities tied to the metals.




EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY at $1.2957, after rate had extended 2013 lows to
$1.2924, recovering to $1.2971 before drifting off into the close. A fairly
quiet start into Asian trading with early dealing confined to a tight $1.2955/65
range. Rate broke up to $1.2982 as it took direction from Aussie dollar's
positive react to stronger than expected Australian jobs data, but momentum
quickly faded and allowed it to drift back to the $1.2960 area. Further selling
then pressed rate to session lows of $1.2943 before recovering back toward the
$1.2960 area again ahead of the European open. A fairly light data calendar
through the European morning, EZ employment at 1000GMT with interest to be set
on SNB and Norges Bank policy decisions (both expected to keep rates unchanged)
as well as Spain bond auctions at 0930GMT. Traders note the EU Summit begins in
Brussels today and could prompt some headline risk. Offers remain at $1.2980/85
ahead of $1.2995/1.3000, with stops building from $1.3005 through to $1.3020.
Support $1.2945/35, a break to expose Wednesday's low at $1.2924. Asian traders
report demand from $1.2920 to $1.2890, covering the reported barrier at $1.2900.
Further demand then seen into $1.2880 the 200-dma lurking behind at $1.2868.

EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.3030/35 Medium offers
$1.3005-20 Stops/Tech rsst mixed in $1.3011 61.8% $1.3065-1.2924
$1.2995/100 Medium offers
$1.2980/85 Medium offers
$1.2982 Int.Day high Asia
$1.2965 ***Current mkt rate 0818GMT Wednesday
$1.2943 Int.Day low Asia
$1.2924 Wednesday Mar13 low
$1.2920 Medium demand on approach/Stops
$1.2900 Medium demand on approach/Option barrier
$1.2880/60 Strong demand/$1.2881 1.618% swing proj. $1.2955-1.3075/$1.2877
50% $1.2043-1.3711
$1.2850 Medium demand/$1.2850 Option barrier/$1.2868 200-dma/Stops


CABLE: Closed in NY at $1.4917 seen after rate had managed to extend its
recovery off recent lows at $1.4832 (Tues Mar12) to $1.4982, the move seen
mainly driven by a sharp corrective pullback in euro-sterling. Pressure on
euro-dollar through the NY session, following release of strong US retail sales
data, also weighed on cable, and with the cross meeting support at stg0.8665/60,
allowed it to ease off to $1.4908 (50% $1.4832-1.4982) ahead of the close. Cable
picked up fresh demand in Asia, the rate able to edge up to $1.4957, aided in
part by the boost to risk appetite provided by the release of strong Australian
jobs data, before it met sell interest placed between $1.4955/65. Rate drifted
off in tandem with euro-dollar to $1.4928, edging back around $1.4940 into
Europe. A light UK calendar today, influence to come from outside sources.
Euro-sterling consolidated its break back under stg0.870 in Asia, trade
contained within stg0.86685-0.8685, opening Europe at stg0.8670. Cable demand
seen at $1.4925/20 ahead of $1.4910/00. A break of $1.4890 to open a deeper move
toward $1.4867 (76.4% $1.4832-1.4982). Resistance remains into $1.4960/65 ahead
of $1.4980/85.

CABLE: Real money demand (cutting shorts) being reported as rate edges back up
to retest overnight highs at $1.4957. Offers are seen between $1.4955/65, a
break to open a move toward $1.4980/85.


YEN: Dollar-yen closed in NY at Y96.14 after rate had recovered to Y96.26 from
earlier lows of Y95.44. Rate came under pressure in Asia, local traders noting
mainly repatriation flows ahead of FY end (end March), the rate pressed to lows
of Y95.69, with real money supply also noted into that mentioned low. Rate then
recovered to Y96.08 before it settled around Y96.00 into Europe. Similar action
ion euro-yen in Asia, the rate easing away from its NY close at Y124.56, broke
under its NY low at Y124.18 before posting lows at Y124.06. Rate recovered to
Y124.42 before settling around Y124.30 into Europe. Ichimoku analysts continue
to see support for further upside progress, recent highs at Y96.70 the initial
target ahead of Y98.60. However, end month yen demand could provide a decent
counter. The lower house in the Japanese parliament verified the three proposed
heads of the BOJ, now awaiting upper house but expected to get through. The
proposed Mar20 takeover seen in focus for any policy moves.

JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are higher Thursday. The Nikkei 225
was higher by 141.53 points, or 1.16%, at 12381.19. Into the close, the
broader-based TOPIX was higher by 6.71 points at 1038.13. Market breadth
indicators saw 123 issue higher, 84 lower and 18 unchanged. Preliminary volume
stood at 1.381 bn shares.


OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut (updated),
* Euro-dollar; $1.2925, $1.2950, $1.2995, $1.3080, $1.3110, $1.3150
* Dollar-yen; Y94.50, Y95.00, Y95.25, Y95.50, Y96.00, Y96.25, Y96.50
* Cable; $1.4925, $1.5000
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8675, stg0.8755
* Dollar-Swiss; Chf0.9450, Chf0.9500
* Euro-Swiss; Chf1.2300, Chf1.2315, Chf1.2350
* Aussie; $1.0200, $1.0300, $1.0310
* Kiwi; $0.8215
* Aussie-yen; Y99.00


EUROZONE ISSUANCE: There is no sovereign bond issuance planned in the eurozone
Thursday, which has now been completed for this week and totals E21.47bln vs
E18.16bln last week. As a recap, The Dutch State Treasury Agency (DSTA) kicked
off issuance on Tuesday with re-opening of its 3-year benchmark 0.00% Apr 2016
DSL issue for E3.48bl. Also on Tuesday, Germany re-opens its 10-year linker 0.1%
2023 Bundei for up to E1.0bln. On Wednesday, Germany re-opened its 2-year 0.25%
Mar 2015 Schatz issue for up to E5.0bln and Italy tapped 3-year benchmark 2.75%
2015 BTP and its recently issued 15-year 4.75% Sep 2028 BTP for E3.323bln and
E2.0bln, respectively and also tapped its floater June 2017 CCTeu & Apr 2018
CCTeu for E1.028bln and E642mln, respectively. Also Wednesday, Ireland priced
E5.0 billion of its new syndicated 10-year bond at mid-swaps +240 basis points,
said the NTMA. The re-offer price was 109.45 and yield 3.316%, added the NTMA.
In terms of reinvestment flows, redemption payment from Germany for E18.0bln and
coupon payments from Italy E1.7bln, Austria E1.4bln, Ireland E0.6bln, Germany
E0.3bln -- turns net cash flow positive to the tune of E0.5bln vs -E16.6bln last
week.

SPAIN AUCTION PREVIEW: Spain's Tesoro Publico conducts a special auction
Thursday, with the Tesoro due to tap 6.00% Jan 2029 Obligacion, 4.90% July 2040
Obligacion and 4.70% July 2041 Obligacion. "Only Primary Dealers for Bonos and
Obligaciones will be able to participate, and their participation will be a
right, not an obligation", said the Tesoro. In addition, the Tesoro said it will
not announce an issuance target ahead of the auction, but most in the market
expect between E1.0bln-E1.5bln size. The auction adds to the E34.97bln sold so
far in bonds by the Tesoro YTD, which equates to around 28.8% of its gross
funding target for 2013. For comparison purposes, the 6.00% Jan 2029 Obligacion
was last sold on Feb 7 for E590mln at an average yield of 5.79% and then covered
2.2 times. The 4.70% July 2041 Obligacion was last sold on Jan 17 for E512mln
at an average yield of 5.70% and then covered 1.996 times. The 4.90% July 2040
Obligacion was last sold on Dec 13 and therefore not comparable. Auction results
are due around 0940GMT.


US: Timeline of key events in the US for the next few days:
- TBD Obama admin likely to release budget in late March
- Mar 14 Tsy Secretary Lew interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC & Fox Business ~1615ET
- Mar 14 Treasury Cpn Purch May 15 2020-Feb 15 2023 $2.75-$3.50B
- Mar 14 Oversight and Investigations Subcomm on FSOC and TBTF at 1000ET
- Mar 14 UST announces 3/6m bills, 10-yr TIPS reopen at 1100ET
- Mar 14 Pres Obama to attend Senate GOP lunch
- Mar 14 UST auctions $13b 29y,11m reopen at 1300ET
- Mar 14 Tsy Lew briefing at Siemens in GA at 1415ET
- Mar 14 Fed releases latest capital adequacy results for 18 largest finl inst
at 1630ET
- Mar 14 Money Supply (M2) at 1630ET
- Mar 15 Jan Tsy Intl Capital System at 0900ET
- Mar 15 Fed Fisher (non-voter) on TBTF to CPAC in Maryland at 0830ET
- Mar 15 Treasury Cpn Purch Dec 31 2017-Nov 30 2018 $4.75-$5.75B
- Mar 18 Treasury Cpn Purch Feb 15 2036-Feb 15 2043 $1.25-$1.75B

[molmomas]

znowu ciekawostka, na edu na m5 potencjalne rgr jako formacja kontynuacji trendu
może sie potwierdzi

rgry one są wszędziee...

No no w ogóle się zastanawiam po co grać pod inne formacje

Tak dla przypomnienia wstawiam.

własnie na to czekałem

[Adam]

z ichimoku na d1 po ewentualnym przebiciu poziomu 1.2360-70 pojawi się fajny sygnał kupna,eur/chf

Na razie to wszystkom chetnym na eLki stopy powycinali

-- Dodano: 14 mar 2013, 09:52 --

bo w polsce się nie opłaca niczego robić, lepiej płacić połowę mniejsze podatki na cyprze.\

edek do 1.2985 i dałn

to nie chodzi o podatki tylko na tego typu konta trzeba mieć zgodę knf a o to po ambergold jest ciężko w Polsce.Dlatego takie szukanie klienta za wszelką cenę jest mocno podejrzane

Konta pamm to konta zarządzane przez brokera najprościej Ty dajesz kasę broker zawiera transakcje dostajesz tylko część zysków a straty ponosisz w całośći.

KNF ? XTB to Brytyjczycy....

To nie istotne żeby działac na terenie RP DI muszą mieć z polskiego KNF

[ForexTig3r]

bo w polsce się nie opłaca niczego robić, lepiej płacić połowę mniejsze podatki na cyprze.\

edek do 1.2985 i dałn

to nie chodzi o podatki tylko na tego typu konta trzeba mieć zgodę knf a o to po ambergold jest ciężko w Polsce.Dlatego takie szukanie klienta za wszelką cenę jest mocno podejrzane

Konta pamm to konta zarządzane przez brokera najprościej Ty dajesz kasę broker zawiera transakcje dostajesz tylko część zysków a straty ponosisz w całośći.

Jaki tego sens jak jest Zulu, czy inni dostawcy sygnałów

[molmomas]

ale dziś wszyscy rozgadani, marazm na rynku to i nic sie nie mówi ;p
konsola do danych

[rafmax]

po dwoch ostatnich H1 widac jak edek jest bardzo zdecydowany co do obrania kierunku