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CANADA: StatCan says "An error has been detected in the processing of the August
8 Labour Force Survey release. This error impacts only the July 2014 estimates.
The source of the error has been identified and corrected estimates will be
released on Friday, August 15."
-- Dodano: wt 12-08-2014, 20:59 --
FOREX: Wells Fargo released their monthly FX update, noting that while "the
greenback has performed strongly since early July," this "may prove to be a
false start." The dollar is likely to put in a more subdued performance in the
remainder of 2014, weighed by "mixed US data and a patient Federal Reserve," WF
strategists Nick Bennenbroek and Eric Viloria say. "The greenback should enjoy
broad-based and sustained gains in 2015, as Fed tightening nears," they add.
Wells Fargo has a 3-month forecast for the euro and yen (respectively) of
$1.3300 and Y102.00, a 6-month forecast of $1.3100 and Y103.00, and a 12-month
forecast of $1.2700 and Y107.00.
FOREX: More on the BOA Merrill Lynch survey for August looking at FX, "a record high" net
84% of those polled looked for the dollar to rise, and "a record high" net 61%
also thought the dollar is currently undervalued. The survey also highlighted
growing pressure on the euro. A net 40% of those polled in August said the euro
is "the currency they most expect to depreciate (on a trade-weighted basis), a
reading that represents a two-year high in negativity towards the euro, up from
a net 28 percent in July," BOA Merrill Lynch said.
EURO-DOLLAR: MNI Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals),
*$1.3500 Medium offers/Stops
*$1.3475/85 Strong offers/$1.3482 T-line off May high
*$1.3445-50 Strong offers/$1.3445 Aug1 high post NFP
*$1.3433 Aug8-Aug4 highs/Trader reports like fading $1.3430-50
*$1.3396 NY high Aug11
*$1.3386 Int.Day high Asia
*$1.3367 ***Current mkt rate 1415 ET Tuesday
*$1.3340-50 Area of large option expiries
*$1.3336 Int.Day low Europe, Asia $1.3368
*$1.3335-30 Strong demand/$1.3333 Aug6 (fresh 2014 low)/Stops
*$1.3325 Barrier
*$1.3318 T.Line off Apr4 (supported Aug6 $1.3333)
*$1.3300 Strong support/$1.3300 Barrier
*$1.3295 Nov7 low(key support)
*$1.3280/70 Medium demand/$1.3271 1.618% swing $1.3333-1.3433
DOLLAR-YEN: MNI Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
*Y103.20 Large stops
*Y103.15 30 Jul high
*Y103.00 Offers on approach (Y102.93 - 5 Aug high)
*Y102.80/85 Medium offers, stops
*Y102.65/70 Medium offers (Y102.66 - 6 Aug high)
*Y102.50 Medium offers (Y102.46 - 7 Aug high)
*Y102.32/36 200-day ma, Intraday high
*Y102.21 ***Current mkt rate 1437 ET Tuesday
*Y102.09/08 Intraday low, 100-day ma
*Y102.00 Demand on approach (Y102.02/00 - 11 Aug low, 21dma)
*Y101.95/93/90 55-day ma, 50% of Y101.51-102.36, Market stops
*Y101.80 Medium demand
*Y101.50 Offshore demand, stops (Y101.51 - 8 Aug low)
*Y101.42/32 24 & 23 Jul lows
*Y101.20 Medium demand (Y101.27 - 55-week ma)
AUSSIE: MNI Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
*$0.9357/60 50% of $0.9475-0.9239 & Market stops
*$0.9350 Medium offers ($0.9348 - 21-day ma)
*$0.9338 100-day ma
*$0.9315/20 Medium offers
*$0.9300 Offers on approach
*$0.9285/90 Medium offers ($0.9286/87 - 11 & 8 Aug highs)
*$0.9276 Intraday US high
*$0.9275 ***Current market price 1450 ET Tuesday
*$0.9248 Intraday low
*$0.9240 Medium demand
*$0.9239/29 8 Aug & 3 Jun lows
*$0.9220/00 Corporate demand, Barrier, stops
*$0.9183/80/77 50% of 2014 range $0.8660-0.9505, stops, 200dma
*$0.9150 Strong demand, stops ($0.9154 - 26 Mar low)
*$0.9119 25 Mar low