Z nedzy do pieniedzy ..:)

[andy11]

20.00-Ameryka (minutki FMOC-podczas ostatnich w pazdzierniku cena edka mocno poleciala w dol....)
a jak bedzie dzisiaj....

[Adrianoforex]

Oj dzieje się na usd/jpy szczególnie. Zaraz kolejny poziom pęknie.

[andy11]

Oj dzieje się na usd/jpy szczególnie. Zaraz kolejny poziom pęknie.

ano dzieje sie...
tylko doklada sie pozycje LL....

[andy11]

Goldman Sachs (for 2015)

The price of oil will continue to fall … Goldman says there is a “new oil order”

Says that the “material expansion in oil service capacity in recent years is likely to lead to 5%-15% cost deflation across oil developments”
Says the implications are significant: a stimulus for consumers, a likely boost towards GDP growth in both emerging markets and developed market countries that import oi but a negative for those countries where oil exports are a key source of revenues

The US dollar bull market will continue
Goldman says the continuing strength of the US dollar is its “strongest asset market view looking through 2015”
Says that further falls in the euro (against the USD)
Also anticipates further yen weakness
“We are in a multi-year phase of USD recovery”

The first rate hike from the Federal Reserve won’t come until September 2015
Goldman warns then that once the Fed does begin to hike in September 2015 it will move the Fed funds rate more quickly than the market now expects, and the terminal rate will be higher
“Our view of the rates path further out in the forecast is now clearly above what the market is pricing and by a significant margin by 2017”

Expect the recovery to broaden beyond the U.S.
Sees Japan and Europe, as well as emerging markets outside of China, improving
They point to lower oil prices, further easing of financial conditions, some relaxation in lending

The growth gap between U.S. and the eurozone will remain wide
“Lowflation” … expects disflationary forces to remain strong through 2015

China …
“Relatively solid GDP growth of between 6% and 7% over the next couple of years”
But the upside in China related assets is limited in 2015
“Markets will focus on the month-to-month fluctuations in activity and policy, the anti-corruption campaign and the shift towards a ‘cleaner’ growth model”

Emerging markets …
India, Thailand and Chile are the best improvers
“2015 will also see more polarization between countries that have addressed their macroeconomic imbalances and are on the right side of the oil import/export divide and those that have not”

The low-volatility environment will persist into 2015

The market outlook overall is “quite benign” … yield on equities still makes them relatively more attractive than sovereign bonds

[andy11]

kiwi-dane gorsze od oczekiwan a cena miernie , moze trzac dac czasu aby dostala kopa ...

[andy11]

Japonia-Dane (00.50-bilans handlowy, 02.35-PMI )

Chiny -Dane (02.45-PMI -ruchy na kangurze beda...)

[andy11]

Wydarzenia (21.11.2014)

9.00-Frankfurt (Pan Draghi bedzie pierdziec)
10.00-Tokyo (Pan Abe bedzie pierdziec)
12.15-Frankfurt (beda pierdziec szef Bundesbanku oraz Pan Schaube
Minister Finansow Niemiec)
14.30-Kanada (Inflacja)


Opcje (21.11.2014)

USDJPY: 117.50 (USD 350m) 118.25 (USD 400m) 118.50 (USD 710m)
EURUSD: 1.2500 (EUR 1.1bln) 1.2550 (EUR 851m) 1.2580 (EUR 1.3bln) 1.2615-20 (EUR 716m) 1.2650 (EUR 2.2bln)
USDCHF: 0.9675 (USD 1.1bln) 0.9700 (USD 600m)
AUDUSD: 0.8600 (AUD 230m)
USDCAD: 1.1400 (USD 310m) 1.1500 (USD 921m)
EURGBP: 0.7825 (EUR 1.1bln) 0.7850 0.7925 (EUR 302m)

[mlody]

Mnie wczorajsze dzienne świece na parach jenowych zachęciły do do zastanowienia nad sprzedażą.
Dzisiaj szczególnie eur/jpy dało ładnie i czy$to.
Ustawiony na zamknięcie tygodnia pozdrawiam

[andy11]

Mnie wczorajsze dzienne świece na parach jenowych zachęciły do do zastanowienia nad sprzedażą.
Dzisiaj szczególnie eur/jpy dało ładnie i czy$to.
Ustawiony na zamknięcie tygodnia pozdrawiam

silne trendy wzrostowe na parach jenowych, sadze ze tak bedzie caly czas (oczywiscie z korektami takimi jak obecna) w grudniu przedterminowe wybore, etc, Pan Abe tylko zaciera lapki...poza tym gospodarka u chamburgerow jest caly czas lepsza...

[andy11]

Opcje (24.11.2014)

USDJPY: 117.25
EURUSD: 1.2400 1.2425 (EUR 418m) 1.2500 (EUR 1.1bln)
USDCAD: 1.1250
AUDUSD: 0.8610 (AUD 1bln) 0.8800 (AUD 840m)
EURJPY: 146.00 (EUR 568m)